Skip to content
Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    70
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    69
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    EDward Gaming
    Won
    EDward Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    69
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Team WE-$42,168.93
    • S
      jtwyslljyLast traded
      EDward Gaming+$9,133.74
    • S
      -PainLast traded
      EDward Gaming+$7,894.08

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    69
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    69
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Aurora Gaming
    Won
    Aurora Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    68
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Frances Tiafoe
    Won
    Frances Tiafoe
    Profitable wallets
    68
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Frances Tiafoe+$9,008.64
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Frances Tiafoe+$5,775.58
    • S
      jtwyslljyLast traded
      Learner Tien-$4,971.77

  • Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-19?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    68
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    68
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    68
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$418.80
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$416.30
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$267.52

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    68
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    68
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    68
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$182.04
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$128.32
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down+$100.08

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    68
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Weibo Gaming
    Won
    Weibo Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    67
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      jtwyslljyLast traded
      LNG Esports-$8,300
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Weibo Gaming+$3,065.38
    • S
      ameisgoat11Last traded
      LNG Esports+$210.33

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    67
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    67
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    67
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$479.73
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Up+$181.33
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$162.24

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    67
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    66
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Impressive-SteakLast traded
      Yes+$33,639.80
    • S
      TokorLast traded
      Yes+$12,874.91
    • S
      boyauLast traded
      Yes+$8,362.18

  • Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    66
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    66
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      trinity42Last traded
      Down+$1,249.88
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$456.82
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$439.38

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    65
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    65
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    65
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    64
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    64
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    64
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    63
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    63
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    63
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$669.87
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Up+$610.05
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$346.54

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    63
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    63
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    New York Yankees
    Won
    New York Yankees
    Profitable wallets
    62
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      New York Yankees+$37,596.28
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      New York Yankees+$3,961.62
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Baltimore Orioles-$2,738.91

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    62
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    62
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    62
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    62
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    62
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    62
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaur

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Arthur Fils
    Won
    Arthur Fils
    Profitable wallets
    61
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    BIG
    Won
    BIG
    Profitable wallets
    61
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      bloodmasterLast traded
      Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition-$13,790
    • S
      antecLast traded
      BIG+$882.91
    • S
      lightningboltsLast traded
      BIG+$541.87

  • Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-19?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    61
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    61
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      trinity42Last traded
      Up+$487.65
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$456.40
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$370.39

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    61
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    61
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Down+$1,253.90
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down-$247.53
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up-$147.24

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    61
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    61
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$305.93
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$285.20
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down+$224.32

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    61
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$817.54
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$334.36
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Down+$93.22

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    61
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 32,912 more positions across 2,358 markets on this day.

Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day
Developer docs