Skip to content
Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Won
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$225.88
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$151.09
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$120.56

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    25%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Last traded
      No-$2,773.57
    • S
      TokorLast traded
      Yes+$104.29
    • A
      tsihkodiivesLast traded
      Yes+$5,089.14

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$58.98
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$56.75
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$52.61

  • Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$306.33
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$280.74
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$234.03

  • LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
    Won
    Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Prague 2: Norbert Gombos vs Sean Cuenin

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Norbert Gombos
    Won
    Norbert Gombos
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ONSIDE GAMING
    Won
    ONSIDE GAMING
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      ONSIDE GAMING+$5,955.49
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      Team Secret-$837.56
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Team Secret-$556.05

  • Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Elena Rybakina

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Diana Shnaider
    Won
    Elena Rybakina
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    BNK FearX Youth
    Won
    BNK FearX Youth
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GooooooollllllllllLast traded
      BNK FearX Youth+$1,166.55
    • S
      trgparkingLast traded
      Hanwha Life Esports Challengers-$380.89
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Hanwha Life Esports Challengers-$362.94

  • CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cancun: Dali Blanch vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Felipe Meligeni Alves
    Won
    Felipe Meligeni Alves
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Dali Blanch-$7,686.04
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Dali Blanch-$3,040.41
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Dali Blanch-$1,543.57

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$112.97
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$102.26
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$102.13

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will LASK Linz win on 2026-08-19?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$4,144.20
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      Yes-$430.95
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$344.41

  • Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    KT Rolster
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Astralis
    Won
    Astralis
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Cleveland Guardians
    Won
    Cleveland Guardians
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 4 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    BIG
    Won
    BIG
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Sunshine.SmileLast traded
      BIG+$4,610.01
    • S
      antecLast traded
      BIG+$779.95
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition-$508.80

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$1,071.59
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$998.48
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$647.71

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$163.04
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$153.99
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$140.47

  • Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gaclfzLast traded
      Over+$5,932.86
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$3,795.42
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Over+$3,001.84

  • Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Kits Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    3v Team
    Won
    3v Team
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sion: Mika Brunold vs Calvin Hemery

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Calvin Hemery
    Won
    Mika Brunold
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Mika Brunold+$7,071.87
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Mika Brunold+$2,200.37
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Calvin Hemery+$1,457.86

  • Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-19?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$292.76
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$214.16
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$188.23

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 3 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition
    Won
    Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      bloodmasterLast traded
      BIG-$13,363.39
    • S
      rf13g145g41g4g4Last traded
      Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition+$3,919.71
    • S
      newwmanLast traded
      Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition+$1,096.87

  • Cancun: Otto Virtanen vs Moez Echargui

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Moez Echargui
    Won
    Moez Echargui
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$2,454.82
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$1,241.14
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Over-$1,120.13

  • Kingston: Joel Schwaerzler vs Kenta Miyoshi

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Kenta Miyoshi
    Won
    Kenta Miyoshi
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    St. Louis Cardinals
    Won
    St. Louis Cardinals
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      AnonymousUsernameLast traded
      St. Louis Cardinals+$3,508.01
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Cincinnati Reds-$2,456.17
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      St. Louis Cardinals+$2,430.98

  • Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 32,912 more positions across 2,358 markets on this day.

Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day
Developer docs