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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Joblife vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Skillcamp Esport
    Won
    Skillcamp Esport
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Sunshine.SmileLast traded
      Joblife-$2,098.94
    • S
      lightningboltsLast traded
      Skillcamp Esport+$644.17
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      Skillcamp Esport+$498.30

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$226.49
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$70.78
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$44.58

  • Cancun: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Francisco Comesana

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Won
    Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Texas Rangers
    Won
    Texas Rangers
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Connecticut Sun
    Won
    Connecticut Sun
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ENCE (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    ENCE
    Won
    Noir Verse
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    New York Mets
    Won
    San Diego Padres
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$402.19
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$334.76
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Over+$254.05

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Bilibili Gaming
    Won
    Bilibili Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      XLG Gaming-$503.95
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Bilibili Gaming+$199.24
    • S
      ameisgoat11Last traded
      XLG Gaming-$195.58

  • Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    LNG Esports
    Won
    LNG Esports
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GooooooollllllllllLast traded
      LNG Esports+$4,410
    • S
      gr5qxLast traded
      LNG Esports+$582.26
    • S
      gejbrLast traded
      LNG Esports+$259.30

  • Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    G2
    Won
    G2
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Heretics Academy
    Won
    Team Heretics Academy
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Londrina EC vs. AC Goianiense end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$1,593.51
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$1,099.56
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$607.96

  • CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cancun: Lloyd Harris vs Laslo Djere

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Laslo Djere
    Won
    Lloyd Harris
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Lloyd Harris+$13,357.09
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Laslo Djere-$12,856.47
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Laslo Djere-$2,709.54

  • Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Diane Parry

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Iga Swiatek
    Won
    Iga Swiatek
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Diane Parry-$430.68
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Diane Parry+$319.79
    • S
      ghostorderLast traded
      Iga Swiatek+$249.09

  • Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$887.98
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$431.65
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$254.91

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$255.59
    • S
      0x50f7Last traded
      Up+$147.06
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Up+$129

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$93.29
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$66
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down+$51.93

  • MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston: Max Purcell vs Harold Mayot

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Harold Mayot
    Won
    Harold Mayot
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    UCAM Esports Club
    Won
    Team Heretics Academy
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Sunshine.SmileLast traded
      Team Heretics Academy+$2,915.63
    • S
      rf13g145g41g4g4Last traded
      UCAM Esports Club-$2,409.17
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      UCAM Esports Club-$218.16

  • LoL: Joblife vs Skillcamp Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Skillcamp Esport
    Won
    Skillcamp Esport
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lorenzo Giustino
    Won
    Lorenzo Giustino
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Lorenzo Giustino+$21,039.71
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Lorenzo Giustino+$4,337.16
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Henry Bernet-$3,106.50

  • Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)

    Wrong

    MMA

    Called
    Douglas Rodrigues
    Won
    Trent Miller
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      forecastication4Last traded
      Trent Miller+$2,870
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Douglas Rodrigues-$508.13
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      Douglas Rodrigues-$251.52

  • Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    BNK FearX Youth
    Won
    BNK FearX Youth
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      Hanwha Life Esports Challengers-$1,078.57
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Hanwha Life Esports Challengers-$125.46
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      BNK FearX Youth+$67.95

  • LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    BIG
    Won
    BIG
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      rf13g145g41g4g4Last traded
      Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition-$6,547.24
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      BIG+$620.16
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      BIG+$379.99

  • Dana White's Contender Series: Kaik Brito vs. Namo Fazil (Welterweight, Main Card)

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    Kaik Brito
    Won
    Kaik Brito
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GamblingOdysseyLast traded
      Kaik Brito+$4,159.98
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      Kaik Brito+$1,379.80
    • S
      4751346Last traded
      Namo Fazil-$879.13

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs 300FPS (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FORZE Reload
    Won
    FORZE Reload
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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