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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$133.48
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$81.98
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down-$65.51

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$144.62
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$79.60
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Up-$50.23

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston: Lucas Da Silva vs Tyler Zink

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Tyler Zink
    Won
    Tyler Zink
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Chicago Sky
    Won
    Chicago Sky
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MOUZ
    Won
    MOUZ
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will NEC win on 2026-08-19?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will NK Celje win on 2026-08-19?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$1,300.14
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$490.48
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$392.64

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$4,659.99
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$2,985.47
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$2,973.10

  • LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
    Won
    Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      arm1337Last traded
      Vivo Keyd Stars Academy+$1,598.13
    • S
      GooooooollllllllllLast traded
      Vivo Keyd Stars Academy+$1,299.97
    • S
      Sweaty-ClawLast traded
      Vivo Keyd Stars Academy+$608.79

  • Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Impressive-SteakLast traded
      No-$5,169.61
    • S
      Last traded
      No-$2,038.48
    • S
      Sharky6999Last traded
      Yes+$247.56

  • LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport - Game 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Vitality.Bee
    Won
    Ici Japon Corp. Esport
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Juan Manuel La Serna
    Won
    Juan Manuel La Serna
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Luca Staeheli-$3,350.44
    • S
      redfox666Last traded
      Juan Manuel La Serna+$614.34
    • S
      hellonewdayLast traded
      Juan Manuel La Serna+$582.11

  • Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-07-12?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PippiTraderLast traded
      Yes+$205.20
    • S
      C03BLast traded
      Yes-$16.73
    • S
      CoinTrickLast traded
      Yes+$3.87

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up-$409.05
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down-$207.05
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$111.88

  • Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$879.78
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Under+$480.86
    • S
      spendingmoneyLast traded
      Over-$304.02

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Vietnam win on 2026-08-19?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    51%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    TYLOO
    Won
    JD Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Down-$257.78
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Up+$22.96
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up-$17.88

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs 300FPS - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    300FPS
    Won
    FORZE Reload
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      whigLast traded
      Yes+$4,721.64
    • S
      smellyEllieLast traded
      Yes+$508.09
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      Yes+$322.08

  • Roehampton: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Oliver Tarvet

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Oliver Tarvet
    Won
    Oliver Tarvet
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Oliver Tarvet+$4,538
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Oliver Tarvet+$2,128.34
    • S
      tradecraftLast traded
      Oliver Tarvet+$510.69

  • Sion: Sandro Kopp vs Benjamin Hassan

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Benjamin Hassan
    Won
    Benjamin Hassan
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Sandro Kopp-$3,166.25
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Benjamin Hassan+$2,966.33
    • S
      flatbarrelLast traded
      Sandro Kopp-$1,892.48

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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