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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-08-18?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 1 Winner

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dana White's Contender Series: Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Perez (Lightweight, Main Card)

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    Cristian Perez
    Won
    Cristian Perez
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      Logan Paxton-$389.33
    • S
      4751346Last traded
      Cristian Perez+$254.10
    • S
      forecastication4Last traded
      Logan Paxton-$80.99

  • LoL: Joblife vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Joblife
    Won
    Skillcamp Esport
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-08-11?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 4 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    SU Esports
    Won
    Dark Passage
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Los Angeles Angels
    Won
    Los Angeles Angels
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    87%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ic4creamLast traded
      Los Angeles Angels+$7,757.26
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Los Angeles Angels+$3,066.64
    • S
      sportmaster777Last traded
      Los Angeles Angels+$2,995.14

  • Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Won
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Arizona Diamondbacks+$7,636.35
    • S
      AnonymousUsernameLast traded
      Arizona Diamondbacks+$1,613.22
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Arizona Diamondbacks+$590.14

  • LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Ici Japon Corp. Esport
    Won
    Ici Japon Corp. Esport
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Radu Albot

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Michael Geerts
    Won
    Michael Geerts
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Astralis
    Won
    Astralis
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 3 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Heretics Academy
    Won
    Team Heretics Academy
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Sunshine.SmileLast traded
      UCAM Esports Club-$2,826.06
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Team Heretics Academy+$503.06
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      Team Heretics Academy+$256.64

  • Will Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No-$100.96
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes+$41.35
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      No+$39.83

  • Prague 2: Rudolf Molleker vs Filip Jianu

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Rudolf Molleker
    Won
    Filip Jianu
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Rudolf Molleker-$1,143.13
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Filip Jianu+$516.83
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Filip Jianu+$408.48

  • Dana White's Contender Series: Roman Puga vs. Taner Trembley (Featherweight, Main Card)

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    Roman Puga
    Won
    Roman Puga
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Taner Trembley-$431.06
    • S
      4751346Last traded
      Roman Puga+$113.67
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      Taner Trembley-$31.77

  • Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FULL SENSE
    Won
    FULL SENSE
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      FULL SENSE+$294.67
    • S
      trgparkingLast traded
      Rex Regum Qeon-$265.36
    • S
      one8tyfiveLast traded
      FULL SENSE+$258.75

  • Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    54%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Last traded
      No-$1,527.61
    • S
      CoinTrickLast traded
      Yes+$484.32
    • S
      CarLast traded
      Yes+$235.78

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs 7REX - Game 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    7REX
    Won
    INTZ e-Sports
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      7REX-$497.16
    • S
      lightningboltsLast traded
      7REX-$160.75
    • S
      antecLast traded
      INTZ e-Sports+$22.61

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    84%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Las Vegas Aces
    Won
    Atlanta Dream
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Atlanta Dream+$5,409.39
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Las Vegas Aces-$2,195.63
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Las Vegas Aces-$1,422.77

  • ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Fanming Meng vs Sam Ryan Ziegann

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Fanming Meng
    Won
    Fanming Meng
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Casey Askar be the FL-22 Republican nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will EC Juventude win on 2026-08-18?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$1,718.35
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$1,593.88
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      No-$1,435.26

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-07-12?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    MOUZ NXT
    Won
    Inner Circle Academy
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      Over-$1,418.99
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$1,154.33
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Over-$500.16

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 180.5

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    SU Esports
    Won
    SU Esports
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes+$306.57
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No-$90.46
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      Yes+$87.83

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justdanceLast traded
      Up-$4,414.41
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$242.99
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$234

  • ITF M25 Lesa Men: Gabriele Piraino vs Lorenzo Comino

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Gabriele Piraino
    Won
    Lorenzo Comino
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Gabriele Piraino-$3,591.90
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Gabriele Piraino-$2,527.75
    • S
      yesmateLast traded
      Lorenzo Comino+$1,595.96

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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