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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    81%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$237.55
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up+$85.44
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up+$58.29

  • Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-08-18?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CA Banfield win on 2026-08-18?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-19?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston: Kenta Miyoshi vs Clement Chidekh

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Clement Chidekh
    Won
    Clement Chidekh
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    KT Rolster Challengers
    Won
    KT Rolster Challengers
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Ici Japon Corp. Esport
    Won
    Ici Japon Corp. Esport
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Ici Japon Corp. Esport+$274.78
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Ici Japon Corp. Esport+$95.11
    • S
      calculate10Last traded
      Ici Japon Corp. Esport+$80.58

  • Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$958.85
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$654.75
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      Yes+$266.17

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Onion Team vs BRUTE - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Onion Team
    Won
    Onion Team
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    81%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$105.02
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down-$35.04
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$30.05

  • Will David Burck be the FL-22 Republican nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No-$303.26
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No-$154.09
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      No-$147

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cancun: Gauthier Onclin vs Alejandro Moro Canas

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Gauthier Onclin
    Won
    Gauthier Onclin
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Gauthier Onclin+$1,708.50
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Alejandro Moro Canas-$735.28
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Gauthier Onclin+$558.84

  • NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$109.99
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$78.09
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down+$64.02

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Last traded
      Yes+$16,387.72
    • S
      TokorLast traded
      Yes+$9,210.60
    • S
      Impressive-SteakLast traded
      Yes+$4,462.21

  • Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Under+$6,468.88
    • S
      ic4creamLast traded
      Under+$5,193.67
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Under+$2,481.90

  • Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    GamerLegion
    Won
    GamerLegion
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 179.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Kimmer Coppejans

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Kimmer Coppejans
    Won
    Max Hans Rehberg
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Impressive-SteakLast traded
      No-$23,248.83
    • S
      Last traded
      Yes+$1,866
    • S
      TokorLast traded
      Yes+$106.63

  • Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Over-$1,584.87
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Under+$993.53
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$841.80

  • Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    magic
    Won
    magic
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    96%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1,922.29
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$654.38
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$639.50

  • LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Gen.G
    Won
    KT Rolster
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gr5qxLast traded
      Gen.G-$3,503.93
    • S
      GooooooollllllllllLast traded
      Gen.G-$710.57
    • S
      qwe258Last traded
      KT Rolster+$26.18

  • Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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