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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Black Phoenix
    Won
    Black Phoenix
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      Black Phoenix+$591.32
    • S
      one8tyfiveLast traded
      Black Phoenix+$501.29
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Black Phoenix+$412.61

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Roehampton: Viktor Durasovic vs Lucas Poullain

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lucas Poullain
    Won
    Lucas Poullain
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$112.80
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$80.33
    • S
      0x50f7Last traded
      Up+$60.07

  • São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$273.94
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$174.43
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$59.27

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston: Edward Winter vs Gonzalo Bueno

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Gonzalo Bueno
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Edward Winter+$929.40
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Edward Winter-$854.89
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Gonzalo Bueno+$651.74

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$67.02
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$44.80
    • S
      Alpharo28Last traded
      Up+$29.27

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will AL Ahly SC (EGY) win on 2026-08-19?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$283.09
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      No+$191.68
    • S
      ZaiZoiBeleLast traded
      No+$54.95

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Agile-SpacingLast traded
      Up-$85.85
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$52.95
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$50.74

  • LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    BNK FearX Youth
    Won
    BNK FearX Youth
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Malfunction.Last traded
      BNK FearX Youth+$267.93
    • S
      antecLast traded
      BNK FearX Youth+$156.80
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      Hanwha Life Esports Challengers-$147.72

  • Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Won
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Quebec City: Kyrian Jacquet vs Aleksandar Vukic

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Kyrian Jacquet
    Won
    Aleksandar Vukic
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Kyrian Jacquet-$1,454.97
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Aleksandar Vukic+$830.94
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Kyrian Jacquet-$697.21

  • Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO5) - LES Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Heretics Academy
    Won
    Team Heretics Academy
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Team Heretics Academy+$425.07
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Team Heretics Academy+$322.50
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      Team Heretics Academy+$294.62

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Prague 2: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Javier Barranco Cosano

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Radu Mihai Papoe
    Won
    Radu Mihai Papoe
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Javier Barranco Cosano-$579.25
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Radu Mihai Papoe+$540.51
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Radu Mihai Papoe+$371.52

  • CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$1,634.03
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Under+$377.03
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$361.94

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: EXILE esports vs Bohemian Guardians (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    EXILE esports
    Won
    EXILE esports
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Bohemian Guardians-$627.25
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      EXILE esports+$58.40
    • S
      ameisgoat11Last traded
      EXILE esports+$10.34

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FULL SENSE
    Won
    FULL SENSE
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston: Juan Carlos Prado vs Andres Andrade

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Juan Carlos Prado
    Won
    Juan Carlos Prado
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Tiago Silva vs Rocco Piatti

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Rocco Piatti
    Won
    Tiago Silva
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Toronto Tempo
    Won
    Toronto Tempo
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Krakow Women: Amelia Paszun vs Radka Zelnickova

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Radka Zelnickova
    Won
    Radka Zelnickova
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Radka Zelnickova+$8,720.95
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Amelia Paszun-$2,162.07
    • S
      HVABLast traded
      Radka Zelnickova+$337.01

  • Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Caribbean Premier League: Jamaica Kingsmen vs St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots

    Right

    Cricket

    Called
    Jamaica Kingsmen
    Won
    Jamaica Kingsmen
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Jamaica Kingsmen+$1,136.64
    • S
      03-Last traded
      Jamaica Kingsmen+$339.64
    • S
      UlamTriXLast traded
      St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots-$54.28

  • Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in August?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Last traded
      Yes+$15,945.51
    • S
      Impressive-SteakLast traded
      No-$11,460.09
    • S
      TokorLast traded
      Yes+$1,130.59

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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