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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Cleveland Guardians
    Won
    Cleveland Guardians
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Roehampton: Gabi Boitan vs Alastair Gray

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Alastair Gray
    Won
    Gabi Boitan
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Gabi Boitan+$2,251.02
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Alastair Gray-$764.67
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Alastair Gray-$669.77

  • Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. NK Celje end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$1,716.15
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$1,481.23
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$1,253.42

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      0x50f7Last traded
      Down+$62.41
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$62.16
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$42.42

  • LoL: Onion Team vs BRUTE - Game 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Onion Team
    Won
    BRUTE
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Deportivo Riestra AFBC win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sion: Ryan Nijboer vs Tommaso Compagnucci

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Ryan Nijboer
    Won
    Tommaso Compagnucci
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Quebec City: Duncan Chan vs Taro Daniel

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Taro Daniel
    Won
    Taro Daniel
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Taro Daniel+$407.50
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Duncan Chan-$293.65
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Duncan Chan-$167.82

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
    Won
    KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      Vivo Keyd Stars Academy-$507.40
    • S
      GooooooollllllllllLast traded
      Vivo Keyd Stars Academy-$288
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas+$34.72

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Entropy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Fire Flux Esports
    Won
    Fire Flux Esports
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 179.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Goiás EC vs. EC Juventude end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will DN SOOPers Win KeSPA Cup 2026?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      Yes+$1,204.26
    • S
      newwmanLast traded
      Yes+$132.28
    • A
      RentabarLast traded
      No-$3,226.36

  • Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Eliott Rodriguez be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Roehampton: Mark Ceban vs Iliyan Radulov

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Mark Ceban
    Won
    Mark Ceban
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Mark Ceban+$1,311.58
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Mark Ceban+$414.27
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Iliyan Radulov-$377.07

  • Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Málaga CF
    Won
    Málaga CF
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes+$177.27
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      Yes+$59.87
    • A
      ShyGuy1Last traded
      Yes+$375.45

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Kits Esports vs 3v Team - Game 3 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Kits Esports
    Won
    Kits Esports
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Honvéd
    Won
    Honvéd
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$423.42
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Over+$136.04
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$95.16

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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