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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Auger-Aliassime
    Won
    Auger-Aliassime
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      Cerundolo-$498.51
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Auger-Aliassime+$21.73
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Auger-Aliassime+$2.70

  • Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Atlanta Braves
    Won
    Minnesota Twins
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 192.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    SAW Youngsters
    Won
    SAW Youngsters
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$635.73
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$390.59
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$175.25

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    93%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Francesinhas vs GD Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Francesinhas
    Won
    Francesinhas
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Francesinhas-$4,332.72
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      Francesinhas+$272.71
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Francesinhas+$123.71

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Kits Esports vs 3v Team - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    3v Team
    Won
    3v Team
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 19?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Prague 2: Juan Bautista Torres vs Chun-Hsin Tseng

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Chun-Hsin Tseng
    Won
    Chun-Hsin Tseng
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 19?

    No consensus

    SPX

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Aurora Gaming Win the CS2 EWC 2026?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      No-$4,248.86
    • S
      gaclfzLast traded
      No+$0.84
    • A
      KRIS93Last traded
      Yes-$171.59

  • Prague 2: Oleksii Krutykh vs Nick Hardt

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Oleksii Krutykh
    Won
    Oleksii Krutykh
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Oleksii Krutykh+$1,434.61
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Oleksii Krutykh+$633.92
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Oleksii Krutykh+$429.09

  • CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Sabah FK
    Won
    Sabah FK
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Cloud9
    Won
    BESTIA
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: GenOne vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    GenOne
    Won
    GenOne
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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