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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$396.64
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$215.93
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$93.64

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$64.34
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$7.77
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Up+$1.84

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$53.97
    • S
      zxcursed121Last traded
      No-$21.75
    • A
      fildoroLast traded
      No+$84.02

  • Quebec City: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Ugo Blanchet

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Stefanos Sakellaridis
    Won
    Stefanos Sakellaridis
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$92.37
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      No-$0.18
    • A
      ShyGuy1Last traded
      Yes-$161.37

  • CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$138.75
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$134.79
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$86

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$54.08
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No+$31.42
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      No-$27.01

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 17-23?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 190.5

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 178.5

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Luis Carlos Alvarez
    Won
    Rio Noguchi
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Luis Carlos Alvarez-$2,418.70
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Luis Carlos Alvarez-$1,860.35
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Rio Noguchi+$345.20

  • Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Won
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Miami Marlins-$5,955.29
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Philadelphia Phillies+$5,485.52
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Philadelphia Phillies+$634.17

  • Vietnam vs. Malaysia: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$1,683.88
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$1,170.30
    • S
      bluddLast traded
      Over+$856.13

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    G2 Ares
    Won
    ex-Zero Tenacity
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Aurora Gaming
    Won
    Aurora Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Amanda Green be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      No+$1,220.08
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$479.76
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Yes-$408.24

  • Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Club Bolívar
    Won
    São Paulo FC
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      São Paulo FC+$3,149.32
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Club Bolívar-$980.71
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Club Bolívar-$809.76

  • Prague 2: Jan Kumstat vs Sumit Nagal

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Sumit Nagal
    Won
    Jan Kumstat
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Jan Kumstat+$631.78
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Sumit Nagal-$591.99
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Sumit Nagal-$394.71

  • Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-08-19?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    SPARTA
    Won
    SPARTA
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs 7REX - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    INTZ e-Sports
    Won
    INTZ e-Sports
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes+$335.23
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      Yes+$63.35
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      No-$722.44

  • FC Barcelona vs. AL Ahly SC (EGY): O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dana White's Contender Series: Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

    Wrong

    MMA

    Called
    Mahamed Aly
    Won
    Alik Lorenz
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      leegunnerLast traded
      Mahamed Aly+$74.46
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      Mahamed Aly-$70
    • A
      User7429Last traded
      Mahamed Aly-$56.52

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Shevrin Jones be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Agile-SpacingLast traded
      Up-$219.38
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$85.19
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$64.96

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    95%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will India win?

    Right

    Cricket

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Tyler Zink

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Valentin Royer
    Won
    Valentin Royer
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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