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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$55.66
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No-$32.66
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      No-$24.23

  • Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Vietnam vs. Malaysia: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$1,352.65
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$800.55
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Under+$338.57

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$113.87
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$60.45
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$47.08

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: ŠK Slovan Bratislava (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    NK Celje
    Won
    NK Celje
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      ŠK Slovan Bratislava-$668.05
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      NK Celje+$585.27
    • S
      Zealous-ViolenceLast traded
      NK Celje+$365.16

  • Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Elias Ymer

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Daniil Glinka
    Won
    Daniil Glinka
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Giulia Safina Popa vs Teodora Miron

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Teodora Miron
    Won
    Teodora Miron
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    94%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sion: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Dimitar Kuzmanov

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Dimitar Kuzmanov
    Won
    Dimitar Kuzmanov
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Alex Marti Pujolras-$108.13
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Dimitar Kuzmanov+$96.76
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Alex Marti Pujolras-$73.25

  • Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      bloodmasterLast traded
      Under-$14,662.40
    • S
      Bagwell306Last traded
      Over+$1,658.93
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Over+$584.68

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 3 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Dark Passage
    Won
    Dark Passage
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Ilinca Amariei
    Won
    Weronika Ewald
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Ilinca Amariei-$554.83
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Ilinca Amariei+$55.72
    • S
      qwe258Last traded
      Weronika Ewald+$15.22

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Top Esports
    Won
    Top Esports
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      geiyecapixieLast traded
      Top Esports+$496.97
    • S
      mpyhLast traded
      Top Esports+$206.94
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Anyone's Legend-$156.83

  • Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    89%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$998.19
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$347.74
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$343.95

  • Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cancun: Alexandre Muller vs Coleman Wong

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Coleman Wong
    Won
    Coleman Wong
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Coleman Wong-$957.30
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Alexandre Muller-$663.94
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Coleman Wong+$570.12

  • Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs ex-Sashi Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-Sashi Academy
    Won
    ex-Sashi Academy
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. NK Celje: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      TokorLast traded
      No-$168.48
    • S
      CarLast traded
      Yes+$76.20
    • S
      Impressive-SteakLast traded
      Yes+$59.09

  • Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Raccoons (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Raccoons
    Won
    Raccoons
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes+$80.53
    • S
      zxcursed121Last traded
      Yes-$14.75
    • A
      fildoroLast traded
      Yes+$120.86

  • Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 32,912 more positions across 2,358 markets on this day.

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