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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Ethereum reach $2,300 August 17-23?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CypyaLast traded
      Over-$1,340.58
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$771.27
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$271.90

  • Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 19?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 191.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$74.12
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$28.47
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$24.61

  • Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$262.06
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$140.05
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$124.54

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. NK Celje: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down-$87.73
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$81.35
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$55

  • Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    93%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Under+$5,360.97
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      Under+$1,880
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Under+$1,059.15

  • Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 177.5

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-08-19?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago White Sox
    Won
    Chicago White Sox
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Aryna Sabalenka vs. Xinyu Wang: Total Sets O/U 2.5

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Under 2.5
    Won
    Under 2.5
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Solana reach $80 in August?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Last traded
      Yes+$457.87
    • S
      coinman2Last traded
      Yes+$357.47
    • A
      ng6000Last traded
      Yes+$195.44

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Lotte Giants
    Won
    Lotte Giants
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Robin Peguero be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Justin Boulais

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Justin Boulais
    Won
    Benjamin Bonzi
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Benjamin Bonzi+$326.31
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Benjamin Bonzi+$172.01
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Justin Boulais-$133.21

  • ITF W50 Prague Women: Anna Siskova vs Yelyzaveta Kotliar

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Anna Siskova
    Won
    Yelyzaveta Kotliar
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yelyzaveta Kotliar+$3,602.97
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Anna Siskova-$849.49
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Anna Siskova+$404.35

  • Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    SPARTA
    Won
    SPARTA
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Fluminense FC
    Won
    Fluminense FC
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Vietnam vs. Malaysia: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$333.48
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$194.60
    • S
      CypyaLast traded
      Over+$60.09

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 32,912 more positions across 2,358 markets on this day.

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