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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston: Garrett Johns vs Pedro Martinez

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Garrett Johns
    Won
    Pedro Martinez
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ghostorderLast traded
      Pedro Martinez+$292.87
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Garrett Johns-$180.13
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Garrett Johns-$170.74

  • Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Athletics
    Won
    Athletics
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition
    Won
    Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition+$290.83
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      BIG-$236.10
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition+$189.85

  • Will Brent Bien win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Barcelona vs. AL Ahly SC (EGY): O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Black Phoenix
    Won
    Black Phoenix
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Prague 2: Cezar Cretu vs Maxim Mrva

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Maxim Mrva
    Won
    Maxim Mrva
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Maxim Mrva+$105.84
    • S
      ghostorderLast traded
      Cezar Cretu-$95.28
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Maxim Mrva+$60.97

  • Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-08-19?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    89%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$52.46
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up+$26.91
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up+$15.08

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: DOCISK vs Barcząca Esports - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    DOCISK
    Won
    DOCISK
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    81%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      No+$66.21
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No-$7.47
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      Yes-$272.29

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Quebec City: Francesco Maestrelli vs Alexei Popyrin

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alexei Popyrin
    Won
    Alexei Popyrin
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Francesco Maestrelli-$256.18
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Alexei Popyrin+$239.67
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Francesco Maestrelli-$90.43

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 19?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No+$7.63
    • A
      AliciaLast traded
      No-$84.78
    • B
      New917Last traded
      No-$165.82

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kevin Christensen be the WY-AL Republican nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: DOCISK vs Barcząca Esports - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    DOCISK
    Won
    DOCISK
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      newwmanLast traded
      DOCISK+$653.51
    • S
      lightningboltsLast traded
      Barcząca Esports-$224.61
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      DOCISK+$127.93

  • Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will GamerLegion Win the CS2 EWC 2026?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      No-$4,465.34
    • S
      XplayerLast traded
      No+$11.36
    • A
      DkOYLLast traded
      No-$765.93

  • MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$848.92
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$544.12
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$467.96

  • Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 17-23?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    92%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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