Skip to content
Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Toronto Tempo
    Won
    Toronto Tempo
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-08-19?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FK Bodø/Glimt
    Won
    FK Bodø/Glimt
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      FK Bodø/Glimt+$722.42
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      FK Bodø/Glimt+$417.35
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      FK Bodø/Glimt+$409.60

  • Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    ENJOY
    Won
    ex-Zero Tenacity
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    AL Ahly SC (EGY)
    Won
    AL Ahly SC (EGY)
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Seattle Mariners
    Won
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Celtic FC
    Won
    Celtic FC
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5)

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Connecticut Sun
    Won
    Connecticut Sun
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Los Angeles Sparks-$2,554.18
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Connecticut Sun+$902.64
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Los Angeles Sparks-$346.28

  • Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Won
    Boston Red Sox
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Arizona Diamondbacks-$9,288.82
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Boston Red Sox+$9,176.38
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Arizona Diamondbacks-$649.09

  • Will Ceará SC win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Detroit Tigers
    Won
    Detroit Tigers
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Deportivo Riestra AFBC vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    SPARTA
    Won
    SPARTA
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BeefSlayerLast traded
      Yes+$520.10
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      Yes+$78.15
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes-$19.72

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$560.42
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$36.65
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$3.70

  • Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      smellyEllieLast traded
      Yes+$294.54
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      Yes+$250.60
    • S
      yen4uLast traded
      Yes+$8.06

  • Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Sri Lanka win?

    Right

    Cricket

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs 7REX (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    INTZ e-Sports
    Won
    INTZ e-Sports
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    New York Mets
    Won
    San Diego Padres
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will George Moraitis be the FL-25 Republican nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes+$0.39
    • A
      sailor82Last traded
      No+$200.24
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      No+$12

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: SK Nebula vs G2 Gozen (BO5) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    G2 Gozen
    Won
    G2 Gozen
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 18?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$303.98
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes+$2.34
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      No+$231.94

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$441.60
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$236.05
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Under+$70.53

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Brice Barnes be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 19?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$71.44
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes-$0.43
    • A
      0x9506…1c4fLast traded
      No+$115.19

  • ITF M25 Santander Men: Pedro Rodenas vs Alejandro Juan Mano

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alejandro Juan Mano
    Won
    Alejandro Juan Mano
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Alejandro Juan Mano+$1,565.78
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Alejandro Juan Mano-$13.84
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Alejandro Juan Mano+$62.27

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$147.02
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down-$128
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$78.20

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 32,912 more positions across 2,358 markets on this day.

Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day
Developer docs