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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cancun: Henrique Rocha vs Seong-Chan Hong

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Henrique Rocha
    Won
    Henrique Rocha
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Henrique Rocha+$146.35
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Seong-Chan Hong-$131.08
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Seong-Chan Hong-$77.66

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 2 Málaga CF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$68.42
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$16.38
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$15

  • Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Colorado Rockies
    Won
    Colorado Rockies
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Colorado Rockies+$5,933.13
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Colorado Rockies+$5,397.76
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Colorado Rockies+$2,137.78

  • Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 17-23?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    New York Mets
    Won
    New York Mets
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    San Francisco Giants
    Won
    Cleveland Guardians
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    AL Ahly SC (EGY)
    Won
    AL Ahly SC (EGY)
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Cobolli
    Won
    Cobolli
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Chicago Sky
    Won
    Chicago Sky
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sion: Jeffrey von der Schulenburg vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Jeffrey von der Schulenburg
    Won
    Geoffrey Blancaneaux
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Jeffrey von der Schulenburg+$758.04
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Jeffrey von der Schulenburg-$24.52
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Jeffrey von der Schulenburg-$8.81

  • Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Metizport
    Won
    Metizport
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$267.82
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$47.21
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$8.44

  • LoL: DOCISK vs Barcząca Esports (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Barcząca Esports
    Won
    DOCISK
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Goiás EC win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1,067.69
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$854.68
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Yes-$650.11

  • Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Abdulhamid Mubarak vs Tiago Boschmans

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Tiago Boschmans
    Won
    Abdulhamid Mubarak
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Won
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Pittsburgh Pirates+$491.97
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Pittsburgh Pirates+$392.09
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Pittsburgh Pirates+$119.46

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    Won
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    84%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Estudiantes de La Plata+$302.35
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Estudiantes de La Plata+$240.05
    • S
      theZok1Last traded
      Estudiantes de La Plata+$96.15

  • LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 2 Winner

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    SU Esports
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      bloodmasterLast traded
      SU Esports+$1,126.39
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      Dark Passage-$341.04
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      SU Esports+$136.94

  • Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Vitality Academy
    Won
    Vitality Academy
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Inner Circle Prospect-$439.33
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Vitality Academy+$65.53
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Vitality Academy-$63.10

  • Exact Score: ŠK Slovan Bratislava 3 - 1 NK Celje?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    93%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$111.23
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$82.98
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$72.54

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CA Ferrocarril Midland win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Colorado Rockies
    Won
    Colorado Rockies
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Los Angeles Dodgers-$4,880.74
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Colorado Rockies+$3,663.24
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Colorado Rockies+$1,155.48

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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