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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 15, 2026?

    Wrong

    Geopolitics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      Ko-san-123Last traded
      No+$115.51
    • A
      AJSVLast traded
      Yes+$13.93
    • A
      JydyjydLast traded
      Yes-$5

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Iran successfully targets shipping on August 15, 2026?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Celtic FC 1 - 0 LASK Linz?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$127
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$125.28
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      No+$37.40

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Astralis Win the CS2 EWC 2026?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      No-$3,855.33
    • A
      DkOYLLast traded
      No-$762.50
    • A
      KRIS93Last traded
      Yes-$112.31

  • Ethereum Up or Down on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ethereum reach $2,100 August 17-23?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: DNS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    HANJIN BRION
    Won
    HANJIN BRION
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      spartachioLast traded
      HANJIN BRION+$637.89
    • S
      antecLast traded
      HANJIN BRION+$157.15
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      HANJIN BRION+$68.84

  • Vietnam vs. Malaysia: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Won
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Arizona Diamondbacks+$1,552.01
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Arizona Diamondbacks+$1,017.03
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Arizona Diamondbacks+$298.14

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 19?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Barcelona vs. AL Ahly SC (EGY): Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Dalian Yingbo FC
    Won
    Dalian Yingbo FC
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Dalian Yingbo FC+$260.82
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      Shanghai Haigang FC-$114.87
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Shanghai Haigang FC-$43.88

  • Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Baltimore Orioles
    Won
    Baltimore Orioles
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Minnesota Twins
    Won
    Minnesota Twins
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 182.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    HANJIN BRION
    Won
    HANJIN BRION
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Erwitte Women: Milena Steinkamp vs Mary Lewis

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Milena Steinkamp
    Won
    Milena Steinkamp
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Beatrice Ricci vs Varvara Panshina

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Varvara Panshina
    Won
    Varvara Panshina
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Varvara Panshina+$1,143.50
    • S
      fatdog-012Last traded
      Beatrice Ricci-$354.20
    • S
      HVABLast traded
      Varvara Panshina+$331.15

  • Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 0 Málaga CF?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$1,845.72
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$520.55
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$347.04

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will magic Win the CS2 EWC 2026?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      No-$178.49
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      No+$150
    • A
      DkOYLLast traded
      No-$686.39

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 0 Málaga CF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$183.66
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$106.86
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$103.14

  • Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago White Sox
    Won
    Chicago White Sox
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago White Sox
    Won
    Chicago White Sox
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes+$285.02
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      Yes+$158.51
    • A
      TunSahurLast traded
      Yes+$277.35

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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