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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$190.97
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Under-$118
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$102.44

  • Exact Score: ŠK Slovan Bratislava 2 - 1 NK Celje?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    93%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$137.50
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$94.72
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$70.38

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Kits Esports vs 3v Team - Game 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Kits Esports
    Won
    3v Team
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will John Rutherford be the FL-05 Republican nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Kits Esports vs 3v Team - Game 4 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Kits Esports
    Won
    Kits Esports
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Vincent Keymer Win the Sinquefield Cup?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Fabiano Caruana Win the Sinquefield Cup?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Charles Gambaro be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$1.19
    • A
      OnlyLuckNoBrainLast traded
      Yes-$57.47
    • B
      gghffLast traded
      Yes-$235.41

  • FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Verdant vs Bulldog Esports (BO3) - NLC Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Verdant
    Won
    Verdant
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Baltimore Orioles
    Won
    New York Yankees
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      New York Yankees+$7,403.39
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Baltimore Orioles-$1,281.66
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      New York Yankees+$780.66

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    93%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Nic Zateslo be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$18.97
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Up-$17.52
    • S
      0x50f7Last traded
      Down+$1.26

  • Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    CA Boca Juniors
    Won
    CA Boca Juniors
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Recoleta FC-$1,180.41
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      CA Boca Juniors+$1,109.23
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      CA Boca Juniors+$317.98

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 Málaga CF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$104.62
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$54
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$42.81

  • Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 19?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$76.91
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Under-$29.12
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Over+$14.15

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes+$183.68
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      Yes+$19.97
    • A
      TunSahurLast traded
      Yes+$97.28

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    89%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ARocky33Last traded
      Over+$3.72
    • S
      CypyaLast traded
      Over+$0.85
    • A
      sslavagaLast traded
      Under-$99.23

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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