Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 90% on the same markets.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 15,607
- No consensus
- 12,793
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 68%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZaiZoiBeleLast tradedNo+$67.51
- SantecLast tradedNo+$0.10
- AKuntro2Last tradedNo+$35.20
- Called
- Drip Too Hard
- Won
- HyperSpirit
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedDrip Too Hard-$211.50
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedDrip Too Hard-$1.01
- ApnhkybLast tradedHyperSpirit+$795.43
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$57.75
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$50.80
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$26.32
Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$141.39
- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$59.22
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$30.34
Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$112.06
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$104.85
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$14.16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 19?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0xDB5Last tradedNo+$18.37
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes-$5.65
- SSharky6999Last tradedNo+$4.18
Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$109.62
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$33.22
- SAlpharo28Last tradedDown+$6.27
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 18?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sopopv.Last tradedNo+$157.70
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$40.79
- ABeginnersLuck2Last tradedNo+$0.35
Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$89.52
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown-$53.08
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$24.91
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 18?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPoligarchLast tradedYes+$5.06
- Aneo7777Last tradedYes-$151.62
- A0x9506…1c4fLast tradedNo+$128.66
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on August 19?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$50.62
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$27.09
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$7.90
Will Eric Yonce be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmrworldwideLast tradedYes+$181.33
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo-$51.99
- SAgricultureSecretaryLast tradedYes+$0.10
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVD721lsj4938Dk388Last tradedNo-$7,051.06
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes+$567.05
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$511.31
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)
No consensus- Won
- Kansas City Royals
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedAthletics-$3,767.80
- SBoomLaLaLast tradedAthletics-$669.92
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedKansas City Royals+$94.69
- Called
- Chicago White Sox
- Won
- Chicago White Sox
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 57%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedChicago White Sox+$4,560.32
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedChicago Cubs-$2,024.23
- SRN1Last tradedChicago White Sox+$1,515.48
- Called
- Seattle Mariners
- Won
- Milwaukee Brewers
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedSeattle Mariners-$1,182.60
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedSeattle Mariners-$1,016.37
- S38791873984189Last tradedSeattle Mariners-$205.04
- Called
- Weiyi Kong
- Won
- Weiyi Kong
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedWishaya Trongcharoenchaikul-$422.36
- S38791873984189Last tradedWeiyi Kong+$385.84
- SAgricultureSecretaryLast tradedWeiyi Kong+$107
- Called
- Maxwell McKennon
- Won
- Mathieu Scaglia
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SfortunekingLast tradedMaxwell McKennon-$1,572.26
- SRN1Last tradedMaxwell McKennon-$1,558.02
- S38791873984189Last tradedMaxwell McKennon-$84.38
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$1,099
- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUnder+$513
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$111.36
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedNo-$678.87
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$61.39
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$59.95
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes+$645.45
- SNM-PLast tradedNo-$248.07
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$156.48
- Called
- New York Mets
- Won
- New York Mets
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedNew York Mets+$1,674.18
- SRN1Last tradedNew York Mets+$549.10
- SAnonymousUsernameLast tradedNew York Mets+$121.20
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$701.18
- SCypyaLast tradedUnder+$118.74
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$101.17
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 68%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBagwell306Last tradedUnder-$1,045.12
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$125.50
- AclownlyLast tradedUnder-$282
- Called
- Pittsburgh Pirates
- Won
- Pittsburgh Pirates
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedDetroit Tigers-$3,029.14
- S38791873984189Last tradedPittsburgh Pirates+$579.71
- SRN1Last tradedPittsburgh Pirates+$380.59
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedNo-$867.57
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$533.20
- SGC-PLast tradedNo-$338.51
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 62%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$372.44
- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes+$196.85
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$135.19
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 91%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$538.11
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$134.62
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder+$23.51
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 19?
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedDown-$495.14
- Sgrasstoucher69Last tradedDown-$390.64
- SC03BLast tradedUp-$15.38
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlawed-TranceLast tradedOver-$90.28
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$74.34
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver+$51.20
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$2,808.86
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedNo-$1,617
- SNM-PLast tradedNo-$644.41
- Called
- Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
- Won
- Nippon Ham Fighters
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedFukuoka SoftBank Hawks-$557.19
- SghostorderLast tradedNippon Ham Fighters+$59.03
- BWaitimcookingLast tradedFukuoka SoftBank Hawks-$473.47
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$759.49
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$361.81
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedUnder-$341.33
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$150.21
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$144.08
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedYes-$132.75
- Called
- Color
- Won
- Color
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedColor+$165.12
- SBlack-FacilityLast tradedColor-$9.43
- AbackboxLast tradedEsport Academy Copenhagen-$1,144.99
Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustdanceLast tradedUp-$1,076.01
- SLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$77.46
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$42.49
- Called
- Polina Skliar
- Won
- Marie Vogt
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedMarie Vogt+$771.53
- SsentrioLast tradedPolina Skliar-$692.76
- S38791873984189Last tradedPolina Skliar-$161.37
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver-$696.31
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedOver-$289.38
- SsentrioLast tradedOver-$191.17
- Called
- LG Twins
- Won
- LG Twins
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 90%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedLG Twins+$498.15
- SghostorderLast tradedLG Twins+$29.48
- AEminent-PoleLast tradedLG Twins+$347.84
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$542.41
- SRN1Last tradedYes-$104.33
- StheZok1Last tradedYes-$30.21
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$289
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$105.40
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$9.42
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$504.77
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$85.27
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$12.31
- Called
- Rafael Izquierdo Luque
- Won
- Matias Reyniak
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedRafael Izquierdo Luque-$462.60
- S38791873984189Last tradedRafael Izquierdo Luque-$34.38
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedMatias Reyniak-$23.24
- Called
- XLG Gaming
- Won
- XLG Gaming
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRandomGameBetLast tradedBilibili Gaming-$36.74
- AoheheLast tradedXLG Gaming+$648.30
- AskdedLast tradedBilibili Gaming-$312.69
Will Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmrworldwideLast tradedNo+$594.08
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$12.89
- SAgricultureSecretaryLast tradedNo+$0.10
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFrozenParasiteLast tradedNo+$430.75
- SbalthazarLast tradedNo+$13.16
- Agodblessme2026Last tradedNo+$214.81
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 63%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$276.84
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$170.82
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$121.50
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 18?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 70%
- Called
- ex-Zero Tenacity
- Won
- ex-Zero Tenacity
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRandomGameBetLast tradedex-Zero Tenacity+$185.69
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedex-Zero Tenacity+$182.88
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedex-Zero Tenacity+$31.32
12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 32,912 more positions across 2,358 markets on this day.