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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Båstad Men: Alessandro Battiston vs Andreja Petrovic

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alessandro Battiston
    Won
    Alessandro Battiston
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the Sinquefield Cup?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Tropical Storm Lala make landfall in Hawaii as a hurricane?

    Right

    Hawaii

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$332.56
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$61.74
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$12.25

  • Will Al Ula SC win on 2026-08-19?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on August 19?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: Fluminense FC O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Al Kholood Saudi Club (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Al Kholood Saudi Club
    Won
    Al Kholood Saudi Club
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Jeddah Saudi Club-$965.34
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Al Kholood Saudi Club+$765.08
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Al Kholood Saudi Club+$50.02

  • Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Inner Circle Academy
    Won
    Inner Circle Academy
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    84%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Inner Circle Academy+$58.65
    • S
      eanvanezygvLast traded
      Inner Circle Academy+$42
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Inner Circle Academy+$10.21

  • Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: NK Celje (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    NK Celje
    Won
    ŠK Slovan Bratislava
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      NK Celje-$78.61
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      ŠK Slovan Bratislava+$46.08
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      NK Celje-$38.26

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Roehampton: Alex Rybakov vs Charles Broom

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Charles Broom
    Won
    Charles Broom
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Wang (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Sabalenka
    Won
    Sabalenka
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Santander Men: Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Sergi Perez Contri

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Sergi Perez Contri
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Sergi Perez Contri+$1,895.44
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Bernardo Munk Mesa-$1,212.04
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Bernardo Munk Mesa-$184.59

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 Málaga CF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$11.25
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$9.81
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$8.57

  • Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    SAW Youngsters
    Won
    SAW Youngsters
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    87%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 3PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 181.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    87%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$170.13
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$133.92
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$27.31

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Under-$259.87
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Under-$154.05
    • S
      ameisgoat11Last traded
      Over+$60.65

  • Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Texas Rangers
    Won
    Texas Rangers
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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