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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      No+$92.19
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No-$11.99
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      Yes+$4.33

  • CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Won
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Tampa Bay Rays-$424.63
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Toronto Blue Jays+$399.36
    • S
      Adorable-AcquaintanceLast traded
      Toronto Blue Jays+$264.86

  • Will Michael Kirwan be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mrworldwideLast traded
      No+$111.84
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No+$14.50
    • A
      AJSVLast traded
      No+$12.28

  • Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$698.28
    • S
      unbribeablerefLast traded
      No+$264.02
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$207.91

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 100-101°F on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      Yes-$8.89
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes+$5.01
    • A
      sailor82Last traded
      No+$44.89

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5

    No consensus

    Baseball

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      No+$34.48
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No+$3.63
    • A
      Fair-TanLast traded
      Yes-$100.19

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Neither team to score first?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Iran successfully targets shipping on August 16, 2026?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes-$1.40
    • A
      shanze8Last traded
      No+$11.97
    • A
      plainfolderLast traded
      No+$1.95

  • Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      fildoroLast traded
      No+$4.68
    • A
      PPMTLast traded
      No+$3.45
    • A
      northdrawerLast traded
      No-$2.75

  • Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      daegothLast traded
      No+$4.76
    • B
      mxnxnLast traded
      No+$3.70
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      No-$3.05

  • Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Celtic FC 2 - 0 LASK Linz?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    92%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$129.86
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$82.80
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$71.13

  • XRP Up or Down - August 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 2 - 1 Sabah FK?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago White Sox
    Won
    Chicago White Sox
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    BNK FearX Youth
    Won
    BNK FearX Youth
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Yuyao Li vs Sunam Jeong

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Sunam Jeong
    Won
    Sunam Jeong
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Mensik
    Won
    Tirante
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ethereum reach $2,250 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • PFK Mash AL Mubarek vs. FC Andijon: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Matt Gaetz be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the match end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Cricket

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Bagwell306Last traded
      Yes-$1,358.93
    • S
      02-Last traded
      Yes-$708.49
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      No+$167.30

  • LoL: GnG Amazigh vs Disruptors (BO3) - Arabian League Play-Ins

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Disruptors
    Won
    GnG Amazigh
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 32,912 more positions across 2,358 markets on this day.

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