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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
2,366 right674 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,084

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Parz1vaILast traded
      No+$2,953.33
    • S
      Optimus-Last traded
      Yes-$2,589.92
    • S
      StarMasterLast traded
      Yes-$203.45

  • Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    2%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    81%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    LGD Gaming
    Won
    LGD Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      LGD Gaming+$16,103.11
    • S
      Zealous-ViolenceLast traded
      LGD Gaming+$467.33
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      LGD Gaming+$445.44

  • Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-12?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Yunchaokete Bu

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Quentin Halys
    Won
    Quentin Halys
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      TRCMLast traded
      Yunchaokete Bu-$3,341.87
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Yunchaokete Bu-$3,110.66
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Quentin Halys+$2,223.25

  • Will PAOK win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$5,126.02
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$2,782.95
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes-$2,563.86

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Rebecca Sramkova

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Rebecca Sramkova
    Won
    Hanne Vandewinkel
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Spirit
    Won
    Spirit
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 14?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      yen4uLast traded
      Yes+$76.64
    • S
      AllByMyseIfLast traded
      Yes+$21.30
    • S
      CarLast traded
      Yes+$12.94

  • Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Brownsburg: Liam Broady vs Dhakshineswar Suresh

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Dhakshineswar Suresh
    Won
    Dhakshineswar Suresh
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Dhakshineswar Suresh+$875.93
    • S
      forecastication4Last traded
      Dhakshineswar Suresh+$730.41
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Dhakshineswar Suresh+$704.79

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Fnatic
    Won
    Fnatic
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs J.J. Wolf

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    J.J. Wolf
    Won
    J.J. Wolf
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Coleman Wong vs Otto Virtanen

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Otto Virtanen
    Won
    Coleman Wong
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Otto Virtanen-$1,462.73
    • S
      TRCMLast traded
      Coleman Wong+$1,142.43
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Coleman Wong+$710.14

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Lois Boisson

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lois Boisson
    Won
    Lois Boisson
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Lois Boisson+$12,244.71
    • S
      tradecraftLast traded
      Lois Boisson+$11,146.61
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Lois Boisson+$4,858.48

  • Will Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Parz1vaILast traded
      Yes+$5,046.98
    • S
      Optimus-Last traded
      Yes+$1,155.18
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      Yes+$1,066.27

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Mananchaya Sawangkaew
    Won
    Mananchaya Sawangkaew
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Mananchaya Sawangkaew+$3,251.75
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Lanlana Tararudee-$1,166.40
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Mananchaya Sawangkaew+$981.07

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Trevor Svajda vs Michael Zheng

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Trevor Svajda
    Won
    Michael Zheng
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: DRX vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    DRX
    Won
    DRX
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      DRX+$3,222.67
    • S
      SineNooneEILast traded
      DRX+$1,201.39
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      DRX+$888.91

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Dusan Lajovic

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Dusan Lajovic
    Won
    Luca Van Assche
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Karmine Corp Blue
    Won
    Karmine Corp Blue
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Deep Cross Gaming
    Won
    GAM Esports
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      Yes+$440.21
    • S
      badatmath.Last traded
      Yes+$278.73
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      No-$156.97

12,972 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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