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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
2,366 right674 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,084

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$121.82
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down+$105.02
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$102.78

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Xiyu Wang vs Bianca Andreescu

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Xiyu Wang
    Won
    Xiyu Wang
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Xiyu Wang+$1,694.44
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Xiyu Wang-$1,542.05
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Xiyu Wang+$707.14

  • Cincinnati Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Anhelina Kalinina

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Anhelina Kalinina
    Won
    Anhelina Kalinina
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      jtwyslljyLast traded
      Darja Vidmanova-$7,401.78
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Darja Vidmanova-$6,936.59
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Anhelina Kalinina+$5,776.27

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$124.99
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$60.91
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$42.78

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$192.53
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Up+$176.35
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$170.22

  • Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-12?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      No-$2,321.55
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$2,175.42
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Yes+$1,699.33

  • Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Group Stage

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    GAM Esports
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee - Game 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Solary
    Won
    Vitality.Bee
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Vitality.Bee+$1,226.09
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      Solary-$404.56
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Vitality.Bee+$216.23

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Brownsburg: Bernard Tomic vs Edward Winter

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Edward Winter
    Won
    Bernard Tomic
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Golden State Valkyries
    Won
    Golden State Valkyries
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$257.81
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Up+$142.94
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$122.87

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$254.41
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$213.35
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$208.30

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$49.87
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$44.97
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$36.67

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Lilli Tagger vs Robin Montgomery

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Robin Montgomery
    Won
    Lilli Tagger
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Robin Montgomery-$4,419.68
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Robin Montgomery-$1,292.96
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Robin Montgomery-$487.76

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Emiliana Arango
    Won
    Emiliana Arango
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      tradecraftLast traded
      Aliaksandra Sasnovich-$6,281.73
    • S
      Bagwell306Last traded
      Emiliana Arango+$5,233.84
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Emiliana Arango+$3,275.13

  • Brownsburg: Tristan Schoolkate vs Federico Cina

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Federico Cina
    Won
    Tristan Schoolkate
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Federico Cina-$8,058.82
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Tristan Schoolkate+$7,407.07
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Tristan Schoolkate+$4,889.08

  • Cincinnati Open: Tatjana Maria vs Dayana Yastremska

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Tatjana Maria
    Won
    Tatjana Maria
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Dayana Yastremska-$5,273.09
    • S
      jtwyslljyLast traded
      Tatjana Maria+$1,566.53
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Tatjana Maria+$970.20

  • Will Ilves Tampere win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Liquid
    Won
    Team Liquid
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Kimberly Birrell

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Kamilla Rakhimova
    Won
    Kamilla Rakhimova
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      aswfadq1555Last traded
      Up+$582.02
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up+$215.78
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$43.22

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    G2
    Won
    G2
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up-$132.48
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$36.94
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$31.03

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Minnesota Lynx
    Won
    Portland Fire
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Aurora Gaming
    Won
    Aurora Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Karmine Corp Blue
    Won
    Karmine Corp Blue
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Camila Osorio

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Taylor Townsend
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS - Game 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    The Otter Side
    Won
    NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,972 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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