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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
2,366 right674 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,084

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Yue Yuan vs Kayla Day

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Yue Yuan
    Won
    Kayla Day
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Nadia Podoroska

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Nadia Podoroska
    Won
    Emiliana Arango
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Emiliana Arango+$11,114.70
    • S
      SineNooneEILast traded
      Nadia Podoroska-$9,479.99
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Nadia Podoroska-$5,819.18

  • Cincinnati Open: Simona Waltert vs Petra Marcinko

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Petra Marcinko
    Won
    Simona Waltert
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Petra Marcinko-$5,747.54
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Simona Waltert+$4,795.40
    • S
      tradecraftLast traded
      Simona Waltert+$2,836.91

  • Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Iron Wing
    Won
    Iron Wing
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Yibing Wu

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Jaime Faria
    Won
    Jaime Faria
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Polina Kudermetova

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Polina Kudermetova
    Won
    Polina Kudermetova
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Carol Young Suh Lee-$5,777.21
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Carol Young Suh Lee-$2,815.53
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Carol Young Suh Lee-$2,373.09

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down+$142.03
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up-$132.41
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$105.90

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down-$100.63
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$85.20
    • S
      GoodFallenLast traded
      Up+$70.04

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$79.85
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$75
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down+$41.95

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$382.42
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Under-$230.07
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$208.96

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Spirit
    Won
    Spirit
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      WiretransferxyzLast traded
      Luminosity-$13,562.94
    • S
      gaclfzLast traded
      Spirit+$6,930.81
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      Luminosity-$4,749.99

  • Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$188.71
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up+$150.86
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down-$104.41

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down-$63.10
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down+$57.60
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$43.24

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Down+$279.39
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$118.56
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$80.07

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Deportivo Toluca FC
    Won
    Deportivo Toluca FC
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Jie Cui

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Jie Cui
    Won
    Jie Cui
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Jie Cui+$1,480.73
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Jie Cui+$1,418.33
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Jie Cui+$565.46

  • LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ROSSMANN Centaurs
    Won
    ROSSMANN Centaurs
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee (BO3) - LFL Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Solary
    Won
    Solary
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justdanceLast traded
      Up+$754.04
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$672.17
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$619.75

  • Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FaZe
    Won
    FaZe
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Astana: Sergey Fomin vs Kasidit Samrej

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Kasidit Samrej
    Won
    Sergey Fomin
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Sergey Fomin+$2,948.49
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Kasidit Samrej-$2,173.67
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Sergey Fomin+$1,165

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$292.17
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$147.39
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$108.56

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$82.27
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up-$76.41
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$57.77

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$191.30
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up+$147.73
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Up+$105.56

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Down-$364.60
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$209.35
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$84.19

  • Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-12?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Sinja Kraus vs Claire Liu

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Sinja Kraus
    Won
    Sinja Kraus
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$10,117.78
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$4,175.34
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Under+$543.03

  • LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Deep Cross Gaming
    Won
    Deep Cross Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      GAM Esports-$1,256.97
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      GAM Esports-$1,080.51
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      Deep Cross Gaming+$326.38

  • Minnesota Lynx vs. PortlandFire

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Minnesota Lynx
    Won
    Minnesota Lynx
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,972 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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