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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
2,366 right674 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,084

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$1,335.72
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Down-$382.26
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up+$56.84

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$112.61
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$107.20
    • S
      trinity42Last traded
      Down+$105.23

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Down+$190.12
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$68.86
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$67.18

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$372.03
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down-$100.56
    • S
      quantbarbieLast traded
      Down+$60.56

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$7,600.59
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$3,287.76
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Under+$1,823.20

  • Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Bushido Wildcats
    Won
    Bushido Wildcats
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Páfos FC win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$4,781.13
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1,195.78
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Yes-$577.61

  • Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Club Cerro Porteño
    Won
    Club Cerro Porteño
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Club Cerro Porteño+$31,237.20
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Club Cerro Porteño+$4,050.16
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Club Cerro Porteño+$2,833.92

  • Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$2,522.84
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      Over-$1,030.02
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under+$994.82

  • Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-08-12?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      No+$2,099.61
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1,796.16
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      Yes-$1,646.18

  • Toronto Tempo vs. Dallas Wings

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Dallas Wings
    Won
    Dallas Wings
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Deep Cross Gaming
    Won
    GAM Esports
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mpyhLast traded
      Deep Cross Gaming-$2,814.75
    • S
      lightningboltsLast traded
      GAM Esports+$726.88
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Deep Cross Gaming+$519.37

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up-$134.75
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$107.80
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$50.62

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$293.55
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up-$87.74
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up-$64.84

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Miami Marlins
    Won
    Miami Marlins
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Miami Marlins+$3,235.09
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Miami Marlins+$3,062.58
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Miami Marlins+$1,915.88

  • SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$8,214.05
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$3,250.49
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Under+$1,967.56

  • Brownsburg: Edas Butvilas vs Daniel Milavsky

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Daniel Milavsky
    Won
    Daniel Milavsky
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Daniel Milavsky+$4,506.47
    • S
      TRCMLast traded
      Edas Butvilas-$1,717.14
    • S
      tradecraftLast traded
      Daniel Milavsky+$1,452.49

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$113.13
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$100.03
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up-$60.09

  • Hamburg: Max Hans Rehberg vs Saba Purtseladze

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Max Hans Rehberg
    Won
    Saba Purtseladze
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Max Hans Rehberg-$19,062.88
    • S
      tradecraftLast traded
      Max Hans Rehberg-$3,693.69
    • S
      TRCMLast traded
      Max Hans Rehberg-$2,091.46

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Darwin Blanch

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Darwin Blanch
    Won
    Aleksandar Vukic
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Panna Udvardy

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Panna Udvardy
    Won
    Cristina Bucsa
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,972 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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