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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
2,366 right674 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,084

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Legacy
    Won
    FaZe
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Mark Lajal vs Dalibor Svrcina

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Dalibor Svrcina
    Won
    Mark Lajal
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      tradecraftLast traded
      Mark Lajal+$8,992.75
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Dalibor Svrcina-$8,244.43
    • S
      TRCMLast traded
      Dalibor Svrcina-$7,612.54

  • Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Falcons
    Won
    Team Falcons
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      white-rabbitLast traded
      Astralis-$1,175.05
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Team Falcons+$530.13
    • S
      gr5qxLast traded
      Team Falcons+$357.50

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$74.75
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Up+$47.31
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$45.48

  • Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Spirit
    Won
    Spirit
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Henrique Rocha
    Won
    Henrique Rocha
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Henrique Rocha+$67,200.50
    • S
      TRCMLast traded
      Henrique Rocha+$7,817.29
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Henrique Rocha+$7,418.90

  • New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Mariano Navone
    Won
    Mariano Navone
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      jtwyslljyLast traded
      Mariano Navone+$3,286.08
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Mariano Navone+$2,269.91
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Mariano Navone+$1,040.33

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Mark Lajal

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Mark Lajal
    Won
    Mark Lajal
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei Nishikori

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Kei Nishikori
    Won
    Marco Trungelliti
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Marco Trungelliti+$13,646.93
    • S
      tradecraftLast traded
      Kei Nishikori-$5,705.91
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Kei Nishikori-$4,430.50

  • Dota 2: Team Yandex vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Yandex
    Won
    Team Yandex
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$138.88
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up+$124.26
    • S
      GoodFallenLast traded
      Down-$120.25

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$690.51
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$601.88
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down-$267.16

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$299.26
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$150.39
    • S
      trinity42Last traded
      Down+$86.78

  • Dota 2: BoomBoys vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    BoomBoys
    Won
    BoomBoys
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    84%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Astralis
    Won
    Team Falcons
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$1,278.77
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$940.84
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$613.21

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$452
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$299.79
    • S
      quantbarbieLast traded
      Down-$150

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$194.53
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$167.45
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$110.92

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago White Sox
    Won
    Chicago White Sox
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      monkeymashingkeyboardLast traded
      Chicago White Sox+$7,963.44
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Cincinnati Reds-$2,935.57
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Chicago White Sox+$1,745.13

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$1,782.45
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$1,386.78
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down-$431.44

  • Cincinnati Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Magdalena Frech

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Magdalena Frech
    Won
    Magdalena Frech
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Antonia Ruzic-$2,224.46
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Magdalena Frech+$1,430.06
    • S
      tradecraftLast traded
      Magdalena Frech+$840.57

12,972 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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