Skip to content
Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
2,366 right674 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,084

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$497.36
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$284.75
    • S
      GoodFallenLast traded
      Up+$210.85

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Up+$800.47
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$457.65
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$190.87

  • Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-12?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Up+$660.35
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$318.32
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$262.82

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up-$194.12
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up-$134.50
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down+$86.83

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?

    Wrong

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-08-13?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$1,151.34
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$994.18
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Yes+$939.91

  • CA Platense vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$5,827.57
    • S
      Flawed-TranceLast traded
      Over-$3,407.44
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$3,205.92

  • SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Corrupt-HornLast traded
      Over-$3,963.26
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$3,808.55
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Under+$2,581.24

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$153
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$114.77
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down+$107.56

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      quantbarbieLast traded
      Up+$246.65
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$195.80
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$177.21

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    New York Mets
    Won
    Atlanta Braves
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down-$244.40
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down-$225.03
    • S
      trinity42Last traded
      Up+$117.98

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago Cubs
    Won
    Chicago Cubs
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Harry Wendelken

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Stefan Kozlov
    Won
    Harry Wendelken
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Joblife vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Joblife
    Won
    Joblife
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Up+$222.11
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$169.60
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$103.30

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$232.42
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down-$136.67
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up+$118.27

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Christopher O'Connell

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Christopher O'Connell
    Won
    Christopher O'Connell
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Bagwell306Last traded
      Christopher O'Connell+$4,905.90
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Christopher O'Connell+$4,462.03
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Christopher O'Connell+$2,423.85

  • Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-12?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$5,227.40
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$3,501.49
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$1,726.26

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down+$243.60
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down+$210.69
    • S
      Agile-SpacingLast traded
      Down+$173.46

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Washington Nationals
    Won
    Washington Nationals
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up-$190.12
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$122.98
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$114.30

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Zeynep Sonmez

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Zeynep Sonmez
    Won
    Zeynep Sonmez
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Zeynep Sonmez+$5,341.42
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Zeynep Sonmez+$3,870.49
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Zeynep Sonmez+$2,828.73

  • LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Bilibili Gaming
    Won
    Bilibili Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-12?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Max Houkes

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Jan Kumstat
    Won
    Jan Kumstat
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,972 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 34,273 more positions across 2,562 markets on this day.

Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day
Developer docs