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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
2,366 right674 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,084

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-12?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Andrej Nedic
    Won
    Carlos Taberner
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$455.08
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down+$257.32
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$199.48

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BertapotamousLast traded
      No-$5,633.08
    • S
      MoondLast traded
      No-$2,880
    • S
      tjaLast traded
      Yes+$1,456.48

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Spirit
    Won
    Team Spirit
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Xtreme Gaming+$18,398.07
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      Team Spirit+$15,069.02
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Xtreme Gaming-$529.42

  • Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Spirit
    Won
    Spirit
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Down-$440.08
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$210.47
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$188.06

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Won
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-08-13?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$16,282.75
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$11,291.98
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Yes-$759.70

  • Will CA Platense win on 2026-08-12?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$5,005.20
    • S
      SharkVisionLast traded
      No-$1,080.47
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      No+$708.95

  • Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-12?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Bilibili Gaming
    Won
    Bilibili Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      ThunderTalk Gaming-$794.49
    • S
      geiyecapixieLast traded
      Bilibili Gaming+$406
    • S
      mpyhLast traded
      ThunderTalk Gaming-$362.96

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Up+$280.12
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down+$258.91
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up-$185.28

  • Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Detroit Tigers
    Won
    Detroit Tigers
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-12?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Denis Shapovalov
    Won
    Denis Shapovalov
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up+$298.93
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$180.40
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$140.26

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up-$556.23
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up-$533.80
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$529.57

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    TEAM VISION
    Won
    TEAM VISION
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Sisyphus-Last traded
      Team Resilience-$1,210.39
    • S
      antecLast traded
      TEAM VISION-$791.23
    • S
      xytestLast traded
      TEAM VISION+$533.84

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kyrian Jacquet

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Kyrian Jacquet
    Won
    Kyrian Jacquet
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Nicolai Budkov Kjaer-$6,406.55
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Nicolai Budkov Kjaer-$2,522.85
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Kyrian Jacquet+$2,048.96

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$137.73
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$92
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$92

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    BIG
    Won
    BIG
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix
    Won
    ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      rf13g145g41g4g4Last traded
      ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix+$2,515.93
    • S
      lightningboltsLast traded
      Team Heretics Academy-$719.28
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix+$667.33

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,972 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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