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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
2,366 right674 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,084

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    BoomBoys
    Won
    BoomBoys
    Profitable wallets
    65
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Liquid
    Won
    Team Liquid
    Profitable wallets
    65
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Won
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Profitable wallets
    64
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Team Falcons vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Falcons
    Won
    Team Falcons
    Profitable wallets
    64
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    64
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Parz1vaILast traded
      No+$1,249.97
    • S
      AllByMyseIfLast traded
      No+$704.56
    • S
      viniiLast traded
      No+$256.87

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    64
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Henrique Rocha
    Won
    Nicolas Mejia
    Profitable wallets
    64
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Henrique Rocha-$2,224.12
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Nicolas Mejia+$2,050.94
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Henrique Rocha+$1,812.89

  • Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Diane Parry
    Won
    Diane Parry
    Profitable wallets
    63
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      boyauLast traded
      Diane Parry+$15,200.09
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Diane Parry+$9,007.03
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Diane Parry+$7,466.21

  • Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-12?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    63
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Boston Red Sox
    Won
    Boston Red Sox
    Profitable wallets
    63
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Boston Red Sox+$10,468.10
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Boston Red Sox+$6,426.50
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Boston Red Sox+$2,624.16

  • Cincinnati Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Jan-Lennard Struff

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Jan-Lennard Struff
    Won
    Jan-Lennard Struff
    Profitable wallets
    63
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    63
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Ben Shelton

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Ben Shelton
    Won
    Ben Shelton
    Profitable wallets
    62
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    Won
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    Profitable wallets
    62
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    62
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    BNK FEARX
    Won
    BNK FEARX
    Profitable wallets
    62
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    61
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draper

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Martin Landaluce
    Won
    Martin Landaluce
    Profitable wallets
    60
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Martin Landaluce+$6,537.47
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Martin Landaluce+$6,078.19
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Martin Landaluce+$5,450.41

  • Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    60
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    60
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down-$583.03
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$456.48
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$389.43

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    60
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up-$376.82
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up+$360.35
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$276.87

  • Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    TEAM VISION
    Won
    TEAM VISION
    Profitable wallets
    59
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Sisyphus-Last traded
      TEAM VISION+$2,592.26
    • S
      Sunshine.SmileLast traded
      TEAM VISION+$1,906.54
    • S
      minjiLast traded
      TEAM VISION+$743.89

  • National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Iga Swiatek
    Won
    Iga Swiatek
    Profitable wallets
    58
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Jacob Fearnley

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Nicolas Mejia
    Won
    Nicolas Mejia
    Profitable wallets
    58
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Bilibili Gaming
    Won
    Bilibili Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    58
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing - Game 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    BoomBoys
    Won
    Iron Wing
    Profitable wallets
    57
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Nigma Galaxy
    Won
    Nigma Galaxy
    Profitable wallets
    57
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Seattle Mariners
    Won
    New York Yankees
    Profitable wallets
    57
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    57
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$17,193.01
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$6,491.95
    • S
      Bagwell306Last traded
      Under+$2,125

  • Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-12?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    57
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes-$2,734.45
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$1,587.59
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Yes-$1,567.14

  • Orlando City SC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    57
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    57
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up-$286.87
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down+$270.19
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$205.01

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    57
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$304.21
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down-$158.48
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$103.26

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    57
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Cleveland Guardians
    Won
    Cleveland Guardians
    Profitable wallets
    56
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago White Sox
    Won
    Cincinnati Reds
    Profitable wallets
    56
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Falcons
    Won
    Team Falcons
    Profitable wallets
    56
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-12?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    56
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    56
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    56
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    56
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Los Angeles Angels
    Won
    Los Angeles Angels
    Profitable wallets
    55
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    55
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Aurora Gaming
    Won
    Aurora Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    55
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SineNooneEILast traded
      Aurora Gaming+$3,704.22
    • S
      xytestLast traded
      Aurora Gaming+$991.82
    • S
      ColdWLast traded
      Aurora Gaming+$780

  • Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan Choinski

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Thiago Agustin Tirante
    Won
    Thiago Agustin Tirante
    Profitable wallets
    55
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Iron Wing
    Won
    Iron Wing
    Profitable wallets
    55
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      cat3xcat3xLast traded
      Nigma Galaxy-$2,892.40
    • S
      xytestLast traded
      Nigma Galaxy-$1,795.65
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Iron Wing-$758.78

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    55
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down+$332.44
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down+$268.73
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$163.58

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    55
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$353.73
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$285.40
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$218.31

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    55
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    55
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,972 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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