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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
2,366 right674 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,084

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Inter Miami CF vs. Club León FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Nigma Galaxy
    Won
    Nigma Galaxy
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Nigma Galaxy+$7,202.15
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      OG-$756.20
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      Nigma Galaxy+$643.95

  • Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-13?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$3,100.06
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      No+$1,511.56
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$1,280.63

  • Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Falcons
    Won
    Team Falcons
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      WiretransferxyzLast traded
      Team Falcons+$2,108.44
    • S
      white-rabbitLast traded
      Team Falcons+$593.83
    • S
      minjiLast traded
      Team Falcons+$223.34

  • Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Under+$3,629.22
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Under-$429.20
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$312.47

  • Will FC Dallas win on 2026-08-12?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$704.19
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$492.52
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      No+$251.07

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    84%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$2,753.36
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Under+$1,121.60
    • S
      TTdesLast traded
      Under+$510

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Eva Lys vs Anna Blinkova

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Anna Blinkova
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Eva Lys-$4,611.14
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Eva Lys-$1,263.21
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Eva Lys-$582.86

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$382.80
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down-$126.52
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$96.74

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    CCG Esports
    Won
    CCG Esports
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Conviction-$1,271.14
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Conviction-$148.74
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      CCG Esports+$97.67

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FK Partizan Beograd win on 2026-08-13?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$5,354.76
    • S
      SharkVisionLast traded
      No+$699.33
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$688.12

  • RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$990.19
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      Under+$558.57
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Under+$365.25

  • LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs ROSSMANN Centaurs - Game 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    ROSSMANN Centaurs
    Won
    E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      newwmanLast traded
      ROSSMANN Centaurs-$1,325.78
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS+$1,263.01
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS+$678.58

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Titouan Droguet

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Titouan Droguet
    Won
    Titouan Droguet
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Stefanos Sakellaridis-$1,275.45
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Titouan Droguet+$1,016.16
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Stefanos Sakellaridis-$712.51

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$3,927.60
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$3,876.64
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$657.73

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Daniel Michalski
    Won
    Lukas Neumayer
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Lukas Neumayer+$2,248.39
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Daniel Michalski-$2,078.29
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Daniel Michalski-$2,020.49

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$117.32
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$108.99
    • S
      GoodFallenLast traded
      Up-$64.63

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      aswfadq1555Last traded
      Up+$161.34
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$108.74
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$105.75

  • Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,972 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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