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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
2,366 right674 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,084

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Sharper Esport
    Won
    Sharper Esport
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No+$18.99
    • A
      northdrawerLast traded
      No+$47.33
    • A
      AJSVLast traded
      No+$35.25

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Mary Stoiana

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Mary Stoiana
    Won
    Mary Stoiana
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Team to Advance

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Jagiellonia Białystok
    Won
    Jagiellonia Białystok
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Rangers FC-$4,982.41
    • S
      CypyaLast traded
      Jagiellonia Białystok+$2,919.19
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Jagiellonia Białystok+$1,498.86

  • ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Alexander Okonkwo vs Strong Kirchheimer

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alexander Okonkwo
    Won
    Alexander Okonkwo
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Strong Kirchheimer+$5,086.34
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      Strong Kirchheimer-$3,005.51
    • S
      yesmateLast traded
      Alexander Okonkwo+$2,856.89

  • Shelbourne FC vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      aswfadq1555Last traded
      Down+$250.37
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down-$109.75
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down+$45.34

  • Cincinnati Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Magda Linette

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Magda Linette
    Won
    Gabriela Ruse
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      jtwyslljyLast traded
      Gabriela Ruse+$776
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Gabriela Ruse+$547.47
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Magda Linette-$512.50

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Karmine Corp Blue
    Won
    Karmine Corp Blue
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Manoj Dhamne Manas

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Aziz Dougaz
    Won
    Aziz Dougaz
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Aziz Dougaz+$3,045.61
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Aziz Dougaz+$1,699.08
    • S
      TRCMLast traded
      Aziz Dougaz+$306.02

  • ITF M25 East Lansing Men: James McCabe vs Noah Zamora

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Noah Zamora
    Won
    Noah Zamora
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs ROSSMANN Centaurs - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ROSSMANN Centaurs
    Won
    ROSSMANN Centaurs
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS-$1,260.64
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS-$1,238.88
    • S
      rf13g145g41g4g4Last traded
      ROSSMANN Centaurs+$1,180.03

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Heretics Academy
    Won
    Team Heretics Academy
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down-$50.06
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$38.70
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$36.71

  • Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Aurora
    Won
    Aurora
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Rangers FC win on 2026-08-13?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$1,805.97
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$1,502.15
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$933.99

  • Brownsburg: Gauthier Onclin vs Tyler Zink

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Tyler Zink
    Won
    Gauthier Onclin
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nadia Podoroska vs Ella Seidel

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Ella Seidel
    Won
    Nadia Podoroska
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      tradecraftLast traded
      Ella Seidel-$6,445.68
    • S
      TRCMLast traded
      Nadia Podoroska+$4,209.45
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Ella Seidel-$3,226.06

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Just Players vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MOUZ NXT
    Won
    MOUZ NXT
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$215.79
    • S
      aswfadq1555Last traded
      Down-$196.47
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$134.64

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 20?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      Yes+$160.20
    • S
      Parz1vaILast traded
      Yes+$20.98
    • S
      AhpoLast traded
      Yes+$3.86

  • Will KAA Gent win on 2026-08-13?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      Yes-$6,254.13
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      No+$4,995.96
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$2,461.33

12,972 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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