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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
2,366 right674 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,084

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Bushido Wildcats
    Won
    Bushido Wildcats
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Inter Miami CF vs. Club León FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$1,310.84
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$726.04
    • S
      Corrupt-HornLast traded
      No+$700.62

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    84%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    GAM Esports
    Won
    GAM Esports
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mpyhLast traded
      GAM Esports+$2,290.56
    • S
      johnbasterLast traded
      GAM Esports+$925.54
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Deep Cross Gaming-$817.90

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-08-12?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gollazaLast traded
      Yes+$533.27
    • S
      zhiberLast traded
      Yes+$362.82
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$355.81

  • Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Toronto Tempo
    Won
    Toronto Tempo
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Dallas Wings-$4,577.16
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Dallas Wings-$3,194.52
    • S
      ic4creamLast traded
      Dallas Wings-$1,502.66

  • Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Top Esports
    Won
    LGD Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      spartachioLast traded
      Top Esports-$4,546.20
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Top Esports-$309.36
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      Top Esports-$240.59

  • Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$2,465.27
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$1,956.23
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Yes+$366.78

  • Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    G2
    Won
    BIG
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Orlando City SC vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Harriet Dart

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Harriet Dart
    Won
    Harriet Dart
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Aoi Ito-$19,500
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Harriet Dart+$9,397.19
    • S
      tradecraftLast traded
      Harriet Dart+$3,342.12

  • Will Tobyl FK win on 2026-08-13?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1,518.48
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$529.86
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$446.66

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$117.56
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up+$60.96
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$22.58

  • Orlando City SC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ENCE vs ENJOY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    ENJOY
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Miomir Kecmanovic

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Miomir Kecmanovic
    Won
    Miomir Kecmanovic
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Over-$556.70
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Over-$504.98
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Over-$501.14

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$487.27
    • S
      aswfadq1555Last traded
      Down-$311.26
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up-$52.49

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Leolia Jeanjean

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lucrezia Stefanini
    Won
    Lucrezia Stefanini
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      flatbarrelLast traded
      Leolia Jeanjean-$5,423.95
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Lucrezia Stefanini+$4,870.26
    • S
      TRCMLast traded
      Leolia Jeanjean-$4,640.71

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Todi: Nicolas Kicker vs Thomas Faurel

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Thomas Faurel
    Won
    Nicolas Kicker
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Thomas Faurel-$1,115.33
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Nicolas Kicker+$1,061.99
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Thomas Faurel-$951.93

  • Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Golden State Valkyries
    Won
    Golden State Valkyries
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Liquid
    Won
    Team Liquid
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Nakashima
    Won
    Nakashima
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC St. Gallen (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FC St. Gallen
    Won
    FC St. Gallen
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      FC St. Gallen+$2,291.43
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      FC St. Gallen+$1,037.83
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      FC Sheriff Tiraspol-$619.32

  • Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Bushido Wildcats
    Won
    Bushido Wildcats
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Resilience
    Won
    Team Resilience
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Team Resilience+$635.50
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Team Resilience+$585.31
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Team Resilience+$475.75

12,972 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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