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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
2,366 right674 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,084

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Kia Tigers
    Won
    Samsung Lions
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      Kia Tigers-$1,191.12
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Kia Tigers-$964.51
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Samsung Lions+$349.29

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Boston Red Sox
    Won
    Boston Red Sox
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Toronto Blue Jays-$2,344.08
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Boston Red Sox+$613.29
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Boston Red Sox+$348.70

  • Dota 2: BoomBoys vs OG - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    BoomBoys
    Won
    BoomBoys
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 26?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Parz1vaILast traded
      Yes+$745.57
    • S
      CarLast traded
      Yes+$111.69
    • S
      4751346Last traded
      Yes+$12.15

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$169.77
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$138.70
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$104.37

  • RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up-$778.93
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up-$479.71
    • S
      aswfadq1555Last traded
      Down+$147.29

  • Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-08-13?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$1,746.77
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$1,303.97
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$1,296.89

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$202.47
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$179.10
    • S
      aswfadq1555Last traded
      Down-$159.29

  • Inter Miami CF vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-08-12?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$986.49
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$432.62
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      No+$290.27

  • Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 18?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Parz1vaILast traded
      Yes+$194
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      No-$80
    • S
      AhpoLast traded
      Yes+$4.80

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Dark Passage vs BoostGate Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Dark Passage
    Won
    Dark Passage
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Bubliki vs Dominion Goblins (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    Dominion Goblins
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Shark Attack vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Phoenix
    Won
    Team Phoenix
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Toronto Tempo
    Won
    Toronto Tempo
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Toronto Tempo+$4,523.76
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Dallas Wings-$2,457.61
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Dallas Wings-$1,044.57

  • Will Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$1,003.39
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$896.03
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      No+$582.54

  • Valorant: Joblife vs Pcific Esports - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Joblife
    Won
    Pcific Esports
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Tigre vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Just Players vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MOUZ NXT
    Won
    MOUZ NXT
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Brownsburg: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Abedallah Shelbayh

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Quinn Vandecasteele
    Won
    Quinn Vandecasteele
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Quinn Vandecasteele+$1,767.52
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Quinn Vandecasteele+$1,214.31
    • S
      TRCMLast traded
      Quinn Vandecasteele+$1,064.82

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justdanceLast traded
      Down-$2,606.50
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Up+$477.14
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$235.32

  • Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Sport Lisboa e Benfica
    Won
    Heart of Midlothian FC
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Over-$954.59
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Under+$485.71
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Under+$327.26

  • Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-12?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$912.80
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$760.20
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$625.18

  • Game Handicap: DP (-1.5) vs BoostGate Esports (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    BoostGate Esports
    Won
    Dark Passage
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Iron Wing
    Won
    Iron Wing
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 21?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CarLast traded
      Yes+$538.31
    • S
      Parz1vaILast traded
      Yes+$233.54
    • S
      Optimus-Last traded
      Yes+$177.29

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-13?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Yes-$1,076.13
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$1,075.44
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$1,022.27

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$219.64
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$71.70
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$55.36

  • Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,972 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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