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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
2,366 right674 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,084

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Aurora Gaming
    Won
    Aurora Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ilves Tampere vs. HNK Rijeka end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$2,398.34
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$1,087.78
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$773.56

  • Will FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda vs. FC Twente end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$1,227.31
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$1,038.12
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$921.22

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$1,295.09
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$652.63
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$432.02

  • Spread: FC Lugano (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    NSÍ Runavík
    Won
    NSÍ Runavík
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Seattle Mariners
    Won
    Seattle Mariners
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$864.97
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Yes+$836.74
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Yes+$371.42

  • Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 19?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Team Yandex vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Yandex
    Won
    Team Yandex
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GamblingOdysseyLast traded
      Yes+$1,435.59
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$1,410.63
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      Yes+$733.40

  • Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    93%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$1,359.17
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$1,298.42
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$513.68

  • Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      No+$179.04
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No+$85
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$75.81

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$125.45
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$107.38
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$97.52

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 13?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      coinman2Last traded
      Yes+$103.87
    • S
      TokorLast traded
      Yes+$101.47
    • S
      zxcursed121Last traded
      Yes-$37.95

  • Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Jagiellonia Białystok
    Won
    Jagiellonia Białystok
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Jagiellonia Białystok+$1,672.94
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Jagiellonia Białystok+$449.36
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Rangers FC-$211.11

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$1,416.15
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      No-$967.45
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$508.33

  • Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will ETO FC win on 2026-08-13?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Yes-$368.77
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$336.81
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      No+$240.98

  • Will FC Lugano win on 2026-08-13?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Ground Zero (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Ground Zero
    Won
    Ground Zero
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Over+$2,864.04
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$1,309.57
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Under-$864.60

  • Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$173.48
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$152.88
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down-$36.62

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 13?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$384.09
    • S
      ZaiZoiBeleLast traded
      No+$52.16
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$22.73

  • Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      Yes+$32.62
    • S
      zxcursed121Last traded
      Yes-$29.63
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No-$22.77

  • Will FC Sion win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,972 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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