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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,584 right543 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,997

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Carla Leite: Points O/U 15.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Sweaty-ClawLast traded
      Over+$0.53
    • A
      FuskoLast traded
      Under-$197.99
    • B
      232323kkLast traded
      Over+$24.29

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Vaduz vs. FC Inter Turku: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    CCG Esports
    Won
    CCG Esports
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      CCG Esports+$137.80
    • S
      antecLast traded
      CCG Esports+$25.11
    • A
      RadioFreeZergLast traded
      CCG Esports+$5.80

  • Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Won
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Toronto Blue Jays+$20.09
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Boston Red Sox-$189.11
    • B
      dyn6344Last traded
      Toronto Blue Jays+$0.56

  • Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs Swiatek

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Swiatek
    Won
    Swiatek
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Washington Nationals (-4.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Washington Nationals
    Won
    Washington Nationals
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Chicago Cubs-$2,649.33
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Washington Nationals+$2,456.24
    • A
      hwidelanceLast traded
      Washington Nationals+$25.88

  • Will Kai or Speed die to an Ender Dragon?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 12?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Páfos FC
    Won
    Páfos FC
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Páfos FC+$176.17
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Páfos FC+$27.11
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Páfos FC-$40.24

  • CA Platense vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Tobyl FK leading at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Vaduz vs. FC Inter Turku: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Sion vs. Noah FA: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Rangers FC 1 - 1 Jagiellonia Białystok?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 2 Winner: Gauff vs Rybakina

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Gauff
    Won
    Rybakina
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: RSC Anderlecht 1 - 1 PAOK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs SAW Youngsters - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    SAW Youngsters
    Won
    SAW Youngsters
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      LavinceyLast traded
      Yes-$87.97
    • S
      zxcursed121Last traded
      No-$63.15
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$2.59

  • Set 2 Winner: Landaluce vs Draper

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Landaluce
    Won
    Landaluce
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Landaluce+$2.67
    • A
      sampo-oneLast traded
      Landaluce+$145.59
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      Landaluce+$0.09

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Bucsa vs Udvardy

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Udvardy
    Won
    Bucsa
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs Draper

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Landaluce
    Won
    Landaluce
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 2 CR Flamengo?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    BNK FEARX
    Won
    BNK FEARX
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ameisgoat11Last traded
      BNK FEARX+$94.63
    • S
      antecLast traded
      BNK FEARX+$46.80
    • B
      36oldtigerLast traded
      BNK FEARX+$0.55

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 2 - 1 FC Dallas?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Sion vs. Noah FA: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Norrie vs. Prizmic: Match O/U 22.5

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: KF Valur O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$337.80
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$165.99
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Under+$37.36

  • ITF W15 Astana 5 Women: Akanksha Dileep Nitture vs Ha Eum Lee

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Akanksha Dileep Nitture
    Won
    Ha Eum Lee
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Akanksha Dileep Nitture-$90.11
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Ha Eum Lee+$159.88
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Ha Eum Lee+$64.47

  • Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: CR Flamengo O/U 4.5 Corners

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Atlanta Braves
    Won
    Atlanta Braves
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 13?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 13?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Andijon win on 2026-08-13?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Seattle Sounders FC vs. CD Guadalajara: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,904 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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