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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,584 right543 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,997

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Shohei Ohtani: Home Runs O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Tigre vs. Montevideo City Torque: Montevideo City Torque O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles FC vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin August 11-12?

    Right

    Science

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      1walrusLast traded
      Yes+$308.46
    • B
      AJSVLast traded
      No+$3.81
    • B
      Palace8709Last traded
      Yes+$2.29

  • Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    CA Mineiro
    Won
    CA Mineiro
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      CA Mineiro+$202.65
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      CA Mineiro+$2.29
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      CA Mineiro+$109.45

  • New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: The Bandits vs Once Upon A Team - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    The Bandits
    Won
    The Bandits
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Aurora Gaming
    Won
    Aurora Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Simon Caldwell

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Simon Caldwell-$420.57
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes+$130.51
    • A
      temparalLast traded
      Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes+$2.91

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Targu Jiu Men: Odysseas Geladaris vs Giannicola Misasi

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Giannicola Misasi
    Won
    Odysseas Geladaris
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Odysseas Geladaris+$670.95
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Giannicola Misasi-$164.32
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Giannicola Misasi-$788.47

  • Exact Score: Red Bull Bragantino 0 - 1 CA Mineiro?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Ilves Tampere 0 - 2 HNK Rijeka?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$110
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$88.76
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$71.30

  • Framber Valdez: Strikeouts O/U 4.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Orix Buffaloes

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
    Won
    Orix Buffaloes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles-$96.49
    • B
      WaitimcookingLast traded
      Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles-$314.28
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Orix Buffaloes+$150.79

  • HNK Hajduk Split vs. FK Žalgiris Vilnius: HNK Hajduk Split O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CF Monterrey vs. Nashville SC: CF Monterrey O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$182.99
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Under+$22
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Over-$91.39

  • Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%?

    Wrong

    Economy

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ilves Tampere vs. HNK Rijeka: Draw at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Stubhub Holdings (STUB) beat quarterly earnings?

    No consensus

    Earnings

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CSD Rangers win on 2026-08-12?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Drita vs. Tre Fiori FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$218.27
    • S
      WagerWizardLast traded
      Over+$1.22
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Over+$18.61

  • Set 1 Winner: Lee vs Kudermetova

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Lee
    Won
    Kudermetova
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Sion vs. Noah FA: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 12?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Muttenz Men: Nicola Senn vs Luca Staeheli

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Nicola Senn
    Won
    Luca Staeheli
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Nicola Senn-$245.06
    • A
      HarryRitterLast traded
      Luca Staeheli+$18.25
    • B
      p5l5x7Last traded
      Luca Staeheli+$9.47

  • FC Drita vs. Tre Fiori FC: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under-$172.04
    • S
      Pan9XLast traded
      Under-$40.94
    • S
      ARocky33Last traded
      Over+$1.15

  • Seattle Sounders FC to score first vs. CD Guadalajara?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      am100Last traded
      Under+$101.17
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Under+$70
    • B
      232323kkLast traded
      Under+$31.73

  • Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Washington Nationals
    Won
    Washington Nationals
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Washington Nationals+$133.05
    • A
      NeedForDeadLast traded
      Chicago Cubs-$79.16
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Chicago Cubs-$254.95

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    FC Twente
    Won
    FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda+$912.51
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      FC Twente-$651.86
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      FC Twente-$63.33

  • Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: Tromsø IL O/U 2.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$11.06
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Under+$152.22
    • A
      RadioFreeZergLast traded
      Under+$51.85

  • Nashville SC leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      poersLast traded
      Under-$132.02
    • B
      kruki5879Last traded
      Under-$56.89
    • B
      lIllIlllIlIlLast traded
      Over+$0.37

  • Deportes Recoleta vs. CSD Rangers: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$176.26
    • B
      kuuskiLast traded
      Over+$14.15
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Over-$3.87

13,904 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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