Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 88% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 16,124
- No consensus
- 13,997
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$103.99
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$37.08
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$16.27
- Called
- Marie Vogt
- Won
- Marie Vogt
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedMarie Vogt+$149.89
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedBerfu Cengiz-$78.27
- AqrupLast tradedMarie Vogt+$51
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$44.25
- BLondonBridgeLast tradedDown+$105
- Bfacai168888Last tradedDown+$61.20
- Called
- Meavedron
- Won
- Meavedron
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SbloodmasterLast tradedMeavedron+$599.33
- S38791873984189Last tradedEXILE esports-$480
- SFuture-Tarot-TraderLast tradedMeavedron+$2.09
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$2.53
- ARadioFreeZergLast tradedUnder-$65.40
- AVD721lsj4938Dk388Last tradedUnder-$53.18
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AclownlyLast tradedUnder+$88.20
- ARadioFreeZergLast tradedUnder+$87.20
- Apleasent242Last tradedOver-$56.56
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$32.31
- AkitopesivanLast tradedYes-$68.39
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo+$154.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$21.89
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$2.50
- BTricky-OverloadLast tradedUp+$93.65
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on August 13?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- APPMTLast tradedYes+$3.24
- AOraculumNobiusLast tradedYes+$0.10
- BDearest-RealmLast tradedNo-$121.18
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes-$269.01
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$11.42
- ASmall-EdgeLast tradedYes+$139.97
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$159.85
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$41.79
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$2.02
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$262.66
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$7.01
- BswisstonyLast tradedUnder+$139.76
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 13?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BAndreaPirloLast tradedYes-$59.22
- Bsleeper-serviceLast tradedYes-$38.98
- B42021Last tradedNo-$15.99
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on August 13?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Brocky42003Last tradedNo+$147.81
- BCommon-GirdleLast tradedYes-$33.88
- BBeginnersLuck2Last tradedNo+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 12?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedYes+$2.72
- APontiusPilateLast tradedNo-$123.50
- Bsleeper-serviceLast tradedYes+$6.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$153.92
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$1.13
- B0xb305d384400e3d7A15780216a55368EA17372Last tradedUp+$40.29
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AEn111006Last tradedDown+$65.59
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$56.09
- B0x8e41faaaaea1b6eae4546eca7713066dc05Last tradedDown+$101.87
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 12?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo-$90.61
- Brocky42011Last tradedNo-$46.08
- BAlexD87Last tradedYes+$26.29
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$133.16
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$11.95
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$11.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedUp-$8.05
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$115.79
- BFXCLast tradedUp+$14
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$111.11
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$0.72
- SMarquisDeMottLast tradedOver+$0.69
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 78%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aomnibus-076daaLast tradedOver-$283.81
- ARadioFreeZergLast tradedUnder+$71.75
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedUnder+$102.66
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$2,978.11
- SNM-PLast tradedYes+$1,798.78
- SGC-PLast tradedYes+$1,070.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$25.87
- BRiffi26Last tradedDown+$69.68
- BozaleLast tradedDown+$12.48
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$102
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$10.62
- Bfairytalevillage777Last tradedDown+$12.58
- Called
- MEIA NOITE
- Won
- MEIA NOITE
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRandomGameBetLast tradedMEIA NOITE+$106.87
- ABookWarriorLast tradedRush-$3.33
- Aowlgorithm-betaLast tradedMEIA NOITE+$0.29
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$48.81
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$14
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo+$40
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$2.07
- BswisstonyLast tradedOver+$168
- BoneofthepplLast tradedUnder-$69.02
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BLanncefyLast tradedYes+$33.91
- BBurly-GrannyLast tradedYes+$33.62
- BMegaenganLast tradedYes+$32.08
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BGregoryMeetLast tradedYes+$32.99
- Blubnazz23Last tradedYes+$32.82
- BOlderbrooLast tradedYes+$32.65
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$54.20
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$48.86
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$4.69
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver-$54.20
- Aomnibus-076daaLast tradedUnder+$55.45
- Bjacques-chiracLast tradedOver-$98.12
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver-$22.16
- Aacount3Last tradedUnder+$83.42
- Bjacques-chiracLast tradedUnder+$35.38
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on August 13?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bsleeper-serviceLast tradedNo+$51.89
- B0x26b1…cc81Last tradedNo+$47.16
- Basdfasdf111Last tradedYes-$2.86
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$49.62
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$37.14
- SNeat-RobotLast tradedNo+$8.95
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$2,139.87
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$1,858.73
- Apups10Last tradedUnder+$185.87
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 12?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$81.49
- BquietparcelLast tradedNo+$13.07
- BBeginnersLuck2Last tradedNo+$0.25
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$102.63
- AkitopesivanLast tradedYes-$64.78
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo+$72.81
- Called
- Axolotl
- Won
- Axolotl
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
- Called
- Zielinski
- Won
- Zielinski
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AclownlyLast tradedZielinski+$91.82
- BlIllIlllIlIlLast tradedZielinski+$0.82
- BMollykLast tradedZielinski+$0.80
- Called
- Ground Zero
- Won
- Ground Zero
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRandomGameBetLast tradedAbyssal+$47.77
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedGround Zero+$35.15
- SLavinceyLast tradedGround Zero+$9.65
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmatsukaLast tradedOver+$4.77
- Aomnibus-076daaLast tradedUnder-$126.62
- BOdd-VacationLast tradedOver+$31.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$36.65
- Bfacai168888Last tradedUp-$59.46
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedUp+$5.91
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$123.17
- Aacount3Last tradedNo+$122.94
- BswisstonyLast tradedYes-$89.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$32.73
- BSARKANLast tradedUp+$114.77
- BronnysLast tradedDown-$59.29
- Called
- STATE
- Won
- STATE
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRandomGameBetLast tradedSTATE+$30.26
- ABookWarriorLast tradedSTATE+$56.58
- Bhellokim1Last tradedSTATE+$1.14
- Called
- Liam Gavrielides
- Won
- Liam Gavrielides
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedLiam Gavrielides+$91
- Aomnibus-076daaLast tradedPieter De Lange-$76.10
- AqrupLast tradedLiam Gavrielides+$71.02
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$46.74
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$0.68
- Bjacques-chiracLast tradedNo+$37.58
13,904 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 20,036 more positions across 1,749 markets on this day.