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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,584 right543 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,997

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CypyaLast traded
      Yes+$0.71
    • A
      Tv12345Last traded
      Yes+$1.36
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      No-$84.83

  • Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    Won
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Rocket League: Twisted Minds vs NIP.eStar (BO5) - Esports World Cup Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    NIP.eStar
    Won
    NIP.eStar
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Iran target a Arab country on August 10, 2026?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      JAMJAMJAM4Last traded
      No+$61.95
    • A
      Hakei.Last traded
      No+$24.38
    • B
      AJSVLast traded
      Yes-$5.65

  • Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FK Dynamo Kyiv
    Won
    FK Dynamo Kyiv
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 1 CR Flamengo?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Rangers FC O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 12?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago White Sox
    Won
    Chicago White Sox
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Chicago White Sox+$44.34
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Chicago White Sox+$27.97
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Cincinnati Reds+$5.66

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 12, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 12?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FK Partizan Beograd (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Tobyl FK
    Won
    Tobyl FK
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Tobyl FK+$76.29
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      FK Partizan Beograd-$30.68
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Tobyl FK+$28.63

  • Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Saitama Seibu Lions

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Nippon Ham Fighters
    Won
    Nippon Ham Fighters
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Tigre vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • San Marcos de Arica vs. Union San Felipe: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Deportes Recoleta vs. CSD Rangers: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will MrBeast's next video get between 68 and 69 million views on day 5?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Andijon vs. FK Neftchi Fargona: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Asuncion Men: Santiago De la Fuente vs Dakotah Bobo

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Santiago De la Fuente
    Won
    Santiago De la Fuente
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Dakotah Bobo-$186.78
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Santiago De la Fuente+$74.85
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Santiago De la Fuente+$183.42

  • PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CF Monterrey 1 - 2 Nashville SC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Atletico Tucuman 1 - 0 CA Independiente Avellaneda?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Drita vs. Tre Fiori FC: Tre Fiori FC O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$33.57
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Under+$797.99
    • B
      zzc6077Last traded
      Over-$763.70

  • Set 2 Winner: Navone vs Collignon

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Navone
    Won
    Navone
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Seattle Sounders FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 12?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Campos do Jordao Women: Sabrina Dias vs Lourdes Ayala

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lourdes Ayala
    Won
    Lourdes Ayala
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • NSÍ Runavík vs. FC Lugano: Draw at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • First Blood in Game 2?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ThunderTalk Gaming
    Won
    ThunderTalk Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      aomendushen008Last traded
      ThunderTalk Gaming+$4.84
    • A
      sampo-oneLast traded
      Bilibili Gaming-$1.95
    • B
      eqawrLast traded
      ThunderTalk Gaming+$60.46

  • ITF W15 Campos do Jordao Women: Maayan Laron vs Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Maayan Laron
    Won
    Maayan Laron
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Vaduz vs. FC Inter Turku: O/U 5.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Páfos FC 0 - 1 FC Red Bull Salzburg?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Termez Surkhon vs. PFC Sogdiana: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Orlando City SC leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: CR Flamengo O/U 3.5 Corners

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,904 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 20,036 more positions across 1,749 markets on this day.

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