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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,584 right543 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,997

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Seattle Sounders FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 4.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 1 - 1 FC Dallas?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. FK Jablonec: FK Jablonec O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Al Shabab Saudi Club 1 - 1 Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Podoroska vs Seidel

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Podoroska
    Won
    Podoroska
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 3 CR Flamengo?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$26.63
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$19.04
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$11.31

  • Will M80 make playoffs?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 13?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Dynama-Minsk vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?

    No consensus

    Economy

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Lajal vs. Svrcina: Match O/U 23.5

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • KAA Gent vs. IFK Göteborg: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$30
    • S
      ARocky33Last traded
      Over+$2.51
    • A
      ZeljkoLast traded
      Over+$19.10

  • Atletico Tucuman vs. CA Independiente Avellaneda: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      blbblbLast traded
      Yes-$98.97
    • S
      polika72Last traded
      Yes-$58.51
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      No+$106.51

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs Gentle Mates GC - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Gentle Mates GC
    Won
    FOKUS Sakura
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Gentle Mates GC-$244.27
    • A
      asphyxia777Last traded
      FOKUS Sakura+$131.70
    • B
      RosneoLast traded
      FOKUS Sakura+$162.88

  • Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 2 - 0 Club Cerro Porteño?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: Club Cerro Porteño O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Seattle Sounders FC 1 - 0 CD Guadalajara?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$44.98
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$25.75
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      No+$69.23

  • Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 12?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will PPI YoY be 6.0% or more in July?

    Wrong

    PPI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Butvilas vs. Milavsky: Match O/U 21.5

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Dynama-Minsk vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FC Sion 2 - 2 Noah FA?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    MH Maccabi Tel Aviv
    Won
    MH Maccabi Tel Aviv
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      MH Maccabi Tel Aviv+$33.11
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      MH Maccabi Tel Aviv+$13.50
    • S
      WagerWizardLast traded
      MH Maccabi Tel Aviv+$1.33

  • Exact Score: Red Bull Bragantino 2 - 2 CA Mineiro?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Rocket League: Team Falcons vs Gentle Mates (BO5) - Esports World Cup Group B

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Falcons
    Won
    Team Falcons
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Last traded
      Team Falcons+$73.98
    • S
      Burkilota1Last traded
      Gentle Mates-$58.80
    • B
      BlackJacksLast traded
      Team Falcons+$32.28

  • Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on August 13?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by lava?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CF Monterrey vs. Nashville SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 12?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 12?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$0.70
    • A
      2B9SLast traded
      Yes-$47.40
    • A
      ghorrockLast traded
      No+$0.98

  • Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Seattle Sounders FC 2 - 2 CD Guadalajara?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$40.92
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$39.03
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Yes-$35.65

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by August 31?

    Right

    Oil

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Chris Madel win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: RSC Anderlecht 1 - 2 PAOK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Neither team to score first?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 12?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      2B9SLast traded
      No+$7.82
    • B
      42012Last traded
      No+$19.69
    • B
      japafabricacafeLast traded
      No+$13.47

  • Will Patrick Knight win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,904 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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