Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 89% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 16,124
- No consensus
- 13,084
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$43.70
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$4.27
- S38791873984189Last tradedUnder-$2.68
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SohioismLast tradedDown-$74.18
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$40.21
- Sgsdgsf3Last tradedDown-$17.47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 12?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sopopv.Last tradedNo+$66.42
- ScurieLast tradedYes-$1.41
- APontiusPilateLast tradedYes-$562.08
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$6,303.70
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedOver+$997.29
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver+$290.90
- Called
- DRX
- Won
- DRX
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRandomGameBetLast tradedDRX+$180.86
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedDRX+$66.99
- Sqwe258Last tradedDRX+$0.29
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGooooooollllllllllLast tradedUnder+$319
- SspartachioLast tradedOver-$245.57
- SyoungwhaleLast tradedOver-$134.49
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$3,776.94
- S38791873984189Last tradedNo+$659.17
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$294.31
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$1,523.56
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder+$646.80
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$358
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$731.90
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$561.27
- SsentrioLast tradedNo-$338.72
- Called
- Seattle Mariners
- Won
- New York Yankees
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNew York Yankees+$3,267.60
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedNew York Yankees+$3,262.32
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedNew York Yankees+$2,176.97
- Called
- Club Cerro Porteño
- Won
- Club Cerro Porteño
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedClub Cerro Porteño+$389.60
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedClub Cerro Porteño+$199.71
- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedClub Cerro Porteño+$63.67
- Called
- OG
- Won
- BoomBoys
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedBoomBoys+$1
- AMurky-FallingoutLast tradedOG-$240
- ANo-89757Last tradedOG-$90.96
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$3,069.84
- SantecLast tradedUnder+$156.50
- AFaZeUp1Last tradedUnder+$837.02
- Called
- CD Coquimbo Unido
- Won
- CD Coquimbo Unido
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedCD Coquimbo Unido+$891.30
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedCA Platense-$336.77
- SbluddLast tradedCA Platense-$100.89
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 66%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$2,101.16
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedUnder+$1,623.02
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$794.70
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$706.96
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$706.25
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$156.06
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedYes-$270
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$188.14
- SCannaeLast tradedYes-$171.27
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$423.33
- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUnder-$210
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedUnder-$93.69
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$375.97
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$84.87
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$66.28
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver+$479.53
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder-$148.75
- AMeistersApprenticeshipLast tradedOver+$17
- Called
- Cleveland Guardians
- Won
- Cleveland Guardians
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedDetroit Tigers-$603.01
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedDetroit Tigers-$571.38
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedDetroit Tigers-$232.34
- Called
- Cleveland Guardians
- Won
- Detroit Tigers
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedDetroit Tigers+$4,007.30
- SRN1Last tradedCleveland Guardians-$2,555.90
- ScurieLast tradedCleveland Guardians-$163.61
- Called
- Victor Ryden
- Won
- Victor Ryden
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedWilliam Rejchtman Vinciguerra-$2,166.33
- SRN1Last tradedVictor Ryden+$1,956.44
- S38791873984189Last tradedVictor Ryden+$501.33
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$996.88
- S38791873984189Last tradedUnder-$124.65
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$49.50
- Called
- Golden State Valkyries
- Won
- Golden State Valkyries
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedGolden State Valkyries+$911.28
- SsentrioLast tradedGolden State Valkyries+$345.82
- SwapolLast tradedGolden State Valkyries+$284.33
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$444.22
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$205.23
- SCorrupt-HornLast tradedOver+$106.72
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes-$743.75
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$130.13
- S38791873984189Last tradedNo+$119.52
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$280
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$198.67
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$131.52
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 12?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 63%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPoligarchLast tradedYes+$31.35
- AOnlyLuckNoBrainLast tradedNo-$68.23
- ABeginnersLuck2Last tradedYes+$1.86
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$686.90
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$165.44
- SgollazaLast tradedOver-$119.22
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$1,696.06
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$212.03
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$190.41
- Called
- Nongshim Esports Academy
- Won
- KT Rolster Challengers
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNongshim Esports Academy-$226.16
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedNongshim Esports Academy-$155.57
- SMalfunction.Last tradedKT Rolster Challengers+$68.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SalmachLast tradedDown+$94.47
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$70.43
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$32.74
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 63%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$631.65
- SsentrioLast tradedOver-$172.71
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver-$117.21
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 45%
Profitable wallets' positions- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$245.87
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$175
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$90.09
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$442.86
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$55.11
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$42.80
Will Kai or Speed die to a skeleton?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SOptimus-Last tradedYes-$991.70
- SAllByMyseIfLast tradedNo+$39.03
- Aclazzy1Last tradedNo+$896.43
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SalmachLast tradedDown-$213.93
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$180.45
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$85.53
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver-$392.82
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$388.50
- SGordinhoDoAlfaLast tradedUnder+$219.18
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SbluddLast tradedOver-$191.94
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder+$181.72
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$29.42
Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by the void?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 38%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Saswfadq1555Last tradedDown+$306.81
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$42.30
- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$21.23
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes+$565.69
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo-$242.80
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$126.42
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$135.60
- SalmachLast tradedUp-$107.60
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$81.31
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$451.98
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver-$192.65
- S38791873984189Last tradedUnder+$1.13
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 12?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sbadatmath.Last tradedNo+$95.57
- Sopopv.Last tradedYes-$69.38
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$42.12
- Called
- Raccoons
- Won
- Raccoons
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRandomGameBetLast tradedRaccoons+$39.11
- SBlack-FacilityLast tradedRaccoons+$23.47
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedRaccoons+$10.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$125.68
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$25.37
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$12
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo-$379.21
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedNo-$64.78
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$4.44
- Called
- Oriol Roca Batalla
- Won
- Francesco Passaro
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedFrancesco Passaro+$417.75
- SthestingsnakeLast tradedFrancesco Passaro+$164.64
- S38791873984189Last tradedOriol Roca Batalla-$144.56
12,972 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 34,273 more positions across 2,562 markets on this day.