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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,584 right543 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,997

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 13?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Inter Miami CF 1 - 2 Club León FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 3 - 2 FC Hradec Králové?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$26.41
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$21.50
    • S
      Neat-RobotLast traded
      No+$8.99

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FK ML Viciebsk vs. FK Borac Banja Luka end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$1,097.28
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$447.10
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$412.42

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Muttenz Men: Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg vs Arthur Bellegy

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg
    Won
    Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Arthur Bellegy-$388.60
    • S
      fortunekingLast traded
      Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg+$115.33
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg+$9.58

  • ITF W35 Bydgoszcz Women: Gaia Maduzzi vs Sofia Shapatava

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Gaia Maduzzi
    Won
    Sofia Shapatava
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Sofia Shapatava+$348.27
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Gaia Maduzzi+$57.92
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Gaia Maduzzi-$166.38

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$186.47
    • A
      JontheoneLast traded
      Down+$6.79
    • B
      xxxlllLast traded
      Up-$242

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Targu Jiu Men: Dragos Nicolae Madaras vs Leonardo Angeloni

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Dragos Nicolae Madaras
    Won
    Dragos Nicolae Madaras
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Dragos Nicolae Madaras+$19.47
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Dragos Nicolae Madaras+$19.28
    • S
      ilovetennisLast traded
      Dragos Nicolae Madaras+$7.21

  • Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$253.05
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$84.52
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      Under+$0.07

  • ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Miles Jones vs Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Miles Jones
    Won
    Miles Jones
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Inter Miami CF 3 - 2 Club León FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$57.11
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$23.10
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$3.76

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Vaduz (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FC Inter Turku
    Won
    FC Inter Turku
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      FC Inter Turku+$44.02
    • S
      Pan9XLast traded
      FC Inter Turku+$31.29
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      FC Inter Turku+$27.92

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      zxcursed121Last traded
      No-$32.80
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$3.36
    • A
      aHjCzLast traded
      No-$7.73

  • Spread: Tobyl FK (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FK Partizan Beograd
    Won
    FK Partizan Beograd
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Tobyl FK-$41.28
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      FK Partizan Beograd+$38.21
    • S
      Pan9XLast traded
      FK Partizan Beograd+$7.02

  • Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Club León FC
    Won
    Club León FC
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$1.14
    • A
      plainfolderLast traded
      No-$6.79
    • A
      ghorrockLast traded
      No+$1.87

  • Spread: HNK Rijeka (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Ilves Tampere
    Won
    Ilves Tampere
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    89%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Ilves Tampere+$105.91
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Ilves Tampere+$57.68
    • S
      Pan9XLast traded
      Ilves Tampere+$30.53

  • Kasatkina vs. Sonmez: Match O/U 21.5

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Flora (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Inter Club d'Escaldes
    Won
    Inter Club d'Escaldes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Inter Club d'Escaldes+$52.47
    • S
      LeLynxMalynxLast traded
      Inter Club d'Escaldes+$8.94
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Inter Club d'Escaldes+$27.53

  • ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Duckhee Lee vs Isaac Becroft

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Isaac Becroft
    Won
    Duckhee Lee
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Sharper Esport - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Rex Regum Qeon
    Won
    Rex Regum Qeon
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Rex Regum Qeon-$23.05
    • A
      oheheLast traded
      Rex Regum Qeon-$43.20
    • A
      cbfe5306Last traded
      Rex Regum Qeon+$1.38

  • FC Andijon vs. FK Neftchi Fargona: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$98.90
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$68.16
    • A
      Cactus-001Last traded
      Under+$2.01

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin on August 8 or earlier?

    Right

    Science

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 2 - 3 CR Flamengo?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$20.26
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$20
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$7.45

  • Exact Score: Ilves Tampere 2 - 1 HNK Rijeka?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,904 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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