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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
2,366 right674 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,084

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Counter-Strike: MEIA NOITE vs Rush (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MEIA NOITE
    Won
    MEIA NOITE
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Russell Fry win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Atlético San Luis
    Won
    Atlético San Luis
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Atlético San Luis+$287.43
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Atlético San Luis+$100
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Orlando City SC-$54.74

  • KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • KF Víkingur vs. FC Thun: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$994.09
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$782.99
    • S
      qwe258Last traded
      Under+$0.07

  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 13?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Cleveland Guardians
    Won
    Cleveland Guardians
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Marko Mesarovic vs Oliver Okonkwo

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Marko Mesarovic
    Won
    Marko Mesarovic
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Marko Mesarovic+$697.67
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Oliver Okonkwo-$543.99
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Marko Mesarovic+$113.70

  • LoL: University of Mississippi vs Cupid Esports - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Cupid Esports
    Won
    Cupid Esports
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$99.54
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$74.23
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Up-$55.61

  • Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      aswfadq1555Last traded
      Down-$133.50
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$128.90
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up+$108.95

  • SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • GKS GieKSa Katowice vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv: Team to Advance

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    MH Hapoel Tel Aviv
    Won
    MH Hapoel Tel Aviv
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    92%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      MH Hapoel Tel Aviv+$177.89
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      MH Hapoel Tel Aviv+$31.99
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      MH Hapoel Tel Aviv-$6.97

  • ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Thomas Fancutt vs Karl Poling

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Karl Poling
    Won
    Karl Poling
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Thomas Fancutt-$2,892.13
    • S
      Well-Informed-WitnessLast traded
      Karl Poling+$2,090
    • S
      yesmateLast traded
      Karl Poling+$509.76

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Vexar
    Won
    Vexar
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Thin-MissLast traded
      Subtop De France-$148.14
    • A
      brunkoLast traded
      Vexar+$360
    • A
      koxmaLast traded
      Vexar+$312.80

  • KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FK Žalgiris Vilnius win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$167.54
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$145.89
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$81.78

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 12?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Up+$234.41
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$36.69
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up-$36.51

  • Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$332.40
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$296.06
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Over-$137.44

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down+$62.20
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up+$49.08
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$26.40

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 12?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$257.59
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$0.70
    • A
      2B9SLast traded
      Yes-$47.40

  • Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Sion (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Noah FA
    Won
    Noah FA
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova Men: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Tiago Pereira

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Tiago Pereira
    Won
    Tiago Pereira
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Tiago Pereira-$561.83
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Tiago Pereira+$264.40
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Alberto Barroso Campos-$3.54

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$82.28
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$67.20
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down-$26.99

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$34.15
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down-$24.27
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down-$17

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$64.75
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$17.49
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down-$7.88

  • FC Dinamo City vs. FK Auda: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 13?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    PFK CSKA Sofia
    Won
    PFK CSKA Sofia
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      aswfadq1555Last traded
      Down+$136.67
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up-$62.86
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down-$53.09

  • Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    AFC Ajax
    Won
    Shelbourne FC
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      AFC Ajax-$627.03
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Shelbourne FC+$401.89
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Shelbourne FC+$391.04

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,972 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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