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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
2,366 right674 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,084

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31?

    Right

    Recurring

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    7%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Albert 1953Last traded
      No-$255.44
    • S
      viniiLast traded
      Yes+$146.88
    • S
      CoinTrickLast traded
      Yes+$9.46

  • Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$996.84
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$440.85
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$435.44

  • Will FK Dynama-Minsk win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$159.73
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$93.49
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$87.87

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Fnatic
    Won
    Fnatic
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$67.39
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$38.32
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$36.73

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$288.38
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$71.32
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$70.18

  • SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Conviction
    Won
    CCG Esports
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Kansas City Royals
    Won
    Kansas City Royals
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W50 Hamburg Women: Rasheeda Mcadoo vs Lola Giza

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Lola Giza
    Won
    Rasheeda Mcadoo
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs JiJieHao - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    GamerLegion
    Won
    GamerLegion
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Seattle Sounders FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Shelbourne FC
    Won
    Shelbourne FC
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Detroit Tigers
    Won
    Detroit Tigers
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Won
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Bryce Nakashima vs Alexander Okonkwo

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Bryce Nakashima
    Won
    Alexander Okonkwo
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Alexander Okonkwo+$5,561.45
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Alexander Okonkwo+$478.10
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Bryce Nakashima-$122.86

  • Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 5.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Dinamo City vs. FK Auda: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Flora vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$1,251.55
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$762.38
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Under-$558.58

  • Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Seattle Mariners
    Won
    New York Yankees
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Flora vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Sharper Esport - Map 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Rex Regum Qeon
    Won
    Sharper Esport
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Rex Regum Qeon-$75.12
    • S
      Sweaty-ClawLast traded
      Rex Regum Qeon-$54.96
    • A
      oheheLast traded
      Sharper Esport-$991.10

  • CA Platense vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Inter Miami CF vs. Club León FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Over+$1,605.27
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$1,054.46
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Over+$356.70

  • FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: KRX.C (-1.5) vs Gen.G Global Academy (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Kiwoom DRX Challengers
    Won
    Kiwoom DRX Challengers
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Kiwoom DRX Challengers+$633.23
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Gen.G Global Academy-$206.85
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Gen.G Global Academy-$151.05

  • Will FK Dynama-Minsk vs. SC Braga end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$596.37
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$469.68
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$461.34

  • Minnesota Lynx vs. Portland Fire: O/U 184.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    KT Rolster Challengers
    Won
    KT Rolster Challengers
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      antecLast traded
      KT Rolster Challengers+$211.25
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Nongshim Esports Academy-$142.40
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      Nongshim Esports Academy-$103.80

  • ITF W35 Vigo Women: Isis Louise Van Den Broek vs Matilde Jorge

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Isis Louise Van Den Broek
    Won
    Matilde Jorge
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Isis Louise Van Den Broek-$1,354.84
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Isis Louise Van Den Broek+$759.18
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Isis Louise Van Den Broek-$448.61

  • CF Monterrey vs. Nashville SC: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. FK Jablonec end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$123.18
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$111.07
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$86.09

  • Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    CF Monterrey
    Won
    CF Monterrey
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes+$291.31
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      Yes+$59.68
    • A
      fildoroLast traded
      Yes+$113.05

12,972 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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