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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
2,366 right674 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,084

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Dark Passage vs BoostGate Esports - Game 2 Winner

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    Dark Passage
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      BoostGate Esports-$830.03
    • S
      spartachioLast traded
      BoostGate Esports-$222.87
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      BoostGate Esports-$130.90

  • LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Kiwoom DRX Challengers
    Won
    Kiwoom DRX Challengers
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Kiwoom DRX Challengers+$59
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Kiwoom DRX Challengers+$28.80
    • S
      rf13g145g41g4g4Last traded
      Kiwoom DRX Challengers+$22

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$49.04
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$43.23
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$6.89

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Seattle Sounders FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NordhavenCapLast traded
      Over+$451.93
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$183.34
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Under-$114.14

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$63.39
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$51.41
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$40.24

  • Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: O/U 1.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$305.05
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$69.75
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Over+$49.75

  • LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Play-In

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    RMD Gaming
    Won
    RMD Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Flora vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?

    Right

    PPI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Seattle Mariners
    Won
    New York Yankees
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Chicago Sky
    Won
    Golden State Valkyries
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 12?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$99.62
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes-$26.31
    • A
      plainfolderLast traded
      No+$2.95

  • Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Texas Rangers
    Won
    Los Angeles Angels
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Texas Rangers-$4,731.01
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Texas Rangers-$2,034.30
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Texas Rangers-$759.18

  • Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Minnesota Lynx
    Won
    Portland Fire
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Minnesota Lynx-$3,353.50
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Minnesota Lynx-$3,269.95
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Minnesota Lynx-$1,690.12

  • Will Los Angeles FC vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$1,587.04
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$1,417.21
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$273.46

  • Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Won
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    NightBirds
    Won
    NightBirds
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FK ML Viciebsk win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$1,442.45
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$1,403.21
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$773.14

  • Will Deportes Recoleta win on 2026-08-12?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Joblife vs Pcific Esports - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Joblife
    Won
    Joblife
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 13?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-08-12?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$439.95
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$420
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$332.13

  • FC Dinamo City vs. FK Auda: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      roberto73Last traded
      Over+$386.09
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$245.15
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Over+$129.08

  • Exact Score: Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1 - 1 FK Dynamo Kyiv?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 13?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: FALKE Esports vs GIANTX iTero (BO3) - LES Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    GIANTX iTero
    Won
    GIANTX iTero
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Caribbean Premier League: St. Lucia Kings vs St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots

    Right

    Cricket

    Called
    St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots
    Won
    St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots+$554.22
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      St. Lucia Kings-$54.89
    • S
      UlamTriXLast traded
      St. Lucia Kings+$24.60

  • Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Portland Fire
    Won
    Portland Fire
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Over-$284.63
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Over-$203.28
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$194.12

  • Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-12?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      aswfadq1555Last traded
      Down-$272.52
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down-$105.55
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down+$22.44

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$168.86
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$165
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$162

  • Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Targu Jiu Men: Vlad Cristian Breazu vs Ignacio Monzon

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Vlad Cristian Breazu
    Won
    Vlad Cristian Breazu
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs Back to Back (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    QUINTESSÊNCIA
    Won
    QUINTESSÊNCIA
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Querétaro FC
    Won
    Querétaro FC
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,972 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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