Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 89% on the same markets.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 16,124
- No consensus
- 13,084
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sopopv.Last tradedYes+$303.90
- Sbadatmath.Last tradedNo-$290.23
- Szxcursed121Last tradedYes+$31.16
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$144
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$103.68
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$102.95
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$4,078.18
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedUnder-$3,623.73
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder-$666.98
Will Kai or Speed have more in-game deaths?
Right- Called
- Speed
- Won
- Speed
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SParz1vaILast tradedSpeed+$34.62
- S4751346Last tradedSpeed+$6.09
- AdontshowmynameLast tradedKai-$163.52
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 62%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedNo-$220.49
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$170.33
- SsentrioLast tradedYes-$105.69
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$47.40
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$38.90
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$27.47
- Called
- LEO
- Won
- LEO
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 70%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedEpic Avalanche-$1,189.92
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLEO+$456.37
- Sigot50kLast tradedLEO+$435.66
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver+$347.14
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$137.09
- SNM-PLast tradedUnder-$89.31
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$105.32
- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$90
- SLilybaeumLast tradedYes-$73.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBoneOhioLast tradedDown+$31.09
- Sdangerously-skip-permissionsLast tradedDown+$11.29
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$4.79
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$4,113.17
- SmonkeymashingkeyboardLast tradedUnder+$4,058.67
- S38791873984189Last tradedOver-$132
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$74.49
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$22.16
- SasidjasiodjaLast tradedUp-$21.75
- Called
- Masamichi Imamura
- Won
- Masamichi Imamura
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedErik Arutiunian+$868.81
- S38791873984189Last tradedErik Arutiunian+$764.50
- StradecraftLast tradedMasamichi Imamura+$408.44
- Called
- Sofya Lansere
- Won
- Lisa Zaar
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedSofya Lansere-$14,541.17
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLisa Zaar+$14,322.34
- S38791873984189Last tradedLisa Zaar-$157.54
- Called
- Movistar KOI Fénix
- Won
- Movistar KOI Fénix
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedMovistar KOI Fénix+$500.61
- SGooooooollllllllllLast tradedTeam Heretics Academy-$193.24
- SyoungwhaleLast tradedMovistar KOI Fénix+$128.61
- Called
- New York Mets
- Won
- Atlanta Braves
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 70%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNew York Mets-$9,087.06
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedNew York Mets-$5,116.82
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedNew York Mets-$4,195.61
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 57%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGooooooollllllllllLast tradedUnder+$5,350
- SsentrioLast tradedUnder+$3,289.59
- SyoungwhaleLast tradedUnder+$135.54
- Called
- Gen.G
- Won
- Gen.G
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedGen.G+$870.87
- Sgr5qxLast tradedHanwha Life Esports-$324.21
- SyoungwhaleLast tradedHanwha Life Esports-$153.97
- Called
- Barrena/Kicker
- Won
- Reymond/Sanchez
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedBarrena/Kicker-$22,060.84
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedBarrena/Kicker-$17,727.51
- SfortunekingLast tradedBarrena/Kicker-$4,756.41
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$2,592.70
- SsentrioLast tradedUnder+$2,226.59
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver-$356.27
- Called
- New York Yankees
- Won
- New York Yankees
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 53%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedNew York Yankees+$3,995.81
- SRN1Last tradedNew York Yankees+$673.50
- ScurieLast tradedNew York Yankees+$179.47
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 53%
Profitable wallets' positions- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUnder+$830
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$825
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$353.70
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$1,273.43
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$1,062.28
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$912.54
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo-$2,622.86
- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo-$670.26
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo-$211.60
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$3,413.93
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$2,203.34
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$1,690.62
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 79%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$3,141.27
- SantecLast tradedUnder+$136.43
- SwapolLast tradedUnder+$112.64
- Called
- Svitolina
- Won
- Svitolina
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedSvitolina+$2,191.97
- SBagwell306Last tradedSwiatek-$2,059.09
- SunbribeablerefLast tradedSvitolina+$427.68
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$899
- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$530
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$185.10
- Called
- Team Resilience
- Won
- Team Resilience
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedTEAM VISION-$2,392.90
- Sigot50kLast tradedTeam Resilience+$417.77
- Sqwe258Last tradedTeam Resilience+$44.89
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUnder+$700
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder+$315.01
- SNordhavenCapLast tradedOver-$70.42
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo-$926.28
- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo-$410
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedNo-$70
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedOver-$2,894.01
- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUnder+$536.52
- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$316.44
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$1,348.92
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedNo+$1,074.17
- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedYes-$540
- Called
- Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
- Won
- Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 72%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedSonja Zhiyenbayeva+$2,418.88
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedSonja Zhiyenbayeva+$264.62
- Sfatdog-012Last tradedSonja Zhiyenbayeva+$78.94
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 84%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$852.76
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$259.80
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$204.93
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo+$347.26
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedNo+$341.91
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$313.18
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo-$223.40
- SNM-PLast tradedNo-$165.39
- SGC-PLast tradedNo-$142.72
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo-$419.97
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$231.02
- SNM-PLast tradedNo-$152.35
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$283.91
- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes-$167.46
- SRN1Last tradedYes-$48.74
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedUnder-$5,484.30
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$4,942.53
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver+$239.83
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 12?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SbalthazarLast tradedYes+$196.49
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo-$145.62
- Sopopv.Last tradedYes+$125.06
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$2,588.20
- S38791873984189Last tradedOver-$224.07
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$115.64
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 63%
Profitable wallets' positions- SContentious-DinnerdateLast tradedNo+$116.12
- Syen4uLast tradedNo+$1.73
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$116
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$358.85
- SwapolLast tradedNo-$276.48
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo-$198.70
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 53%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$496.31
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$324
- SretarbLast tradedOver-$152.01
- Called
- Fnatic
- Won
- Fnatic
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 72%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRandomGameBetLast tradedFnatic+$89.03
- SBAPEHUKLast tradedFnatic+$80
- SminjiLast tradedFnatic+$76.03
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$1,245.30
- S6kke1tLast tradedYes-$1,152.92
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedYes-$797.69
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$641.38
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$360.05
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$344.67
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 81%
Profitable wallets' positions- Saswfadq1555Last tradedUp+$170.93
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$94.40
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$92.73
12,972 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 34,273 more positions across 2,562 markets on this day.