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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
2,366 right674 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,084

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • San Diego FC vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CF Monterrey vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Over-$348.88
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$167.17
    • S
      retarbLast traded
      Under+$46.18

  • Los Angeles FC vs. Querétaro FC: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 12?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      badatmath.Last traded
      Yes-$300.49
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      No+$72.86
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$39.62

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: FALKE Esports vs GIANTX iTero - Game 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    FALKE Esports
    Won
    GIANTX iTero
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs Raccoons - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Raccoons
    Won
    Raccoons
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Shelbourne FC win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$6,400.96
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Under-$736.16
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Over+$681.49

  • LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Solary
    Won
    Solary
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Vitality.Bee-$697.49
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      Solary+$96.26
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Vitality.Bee-$80.57

  • Will Rafael Jodar Win ATP Montreal

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ColdWLast traded
      No+$531.56
    • S
      ndb1Last traded
      No+$525.84
    • S
      LexingtonLast traded
      No+$119.15

  • Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will KF Valur win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      No+$87.08
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      No+$34.83
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$17.70

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 12?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$139.51
    • S
      badatmath.Last traded
      No+$41.86
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes+$6.82

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$500.78
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$173.17
    • S
      Sharky6999Last traded
      Up+$1.15

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$318.75
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$223.35
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$95.47

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    Fnatic
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Miami Marlins
    Won
    Miami Marlins
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will KF Víkingur vs. FC Thun end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1,346.66
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      No+$794.02
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$427.78

  • ITF W35 Vigo Women: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Kira Pavlova

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Yasmine Kabbaj
    Won
    Kira Pavlova
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Kira Pavlova-$1,867.01
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Yasmine Kabbaj-$565.92
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Yasmine Kabbaj-$506.12

  • PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Sean Cuenin vs Makoto Ochi

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Sean Cuenin
    Won
    Sean Cuenin
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$627.80
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$156
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$156

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$691.30
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$67.89
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$52.93

  • Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Spirit
    Won
    Team Spirit
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Xtreme Gaming-$322.89
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Team Spirit+$100.37
    • S
      Malfunction.Last traded
      Team Spirit+$28.61

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      Yes+$329.65
    • S
      badatmath.Last traded
      No-$323.04
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes+$187.95

  • Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Bohemian FC
    Won
    Bohemian FC
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CA Tigre vs. Montevideo City Torque end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Bohemian FC
    Won
    Bohemian FC
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Won
    Boston Red Sox
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$457.54
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$30.54
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      No+$30.30

  • NSÍ Runavík vs. FC Lugano: O/U 3.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SyrrokLast traded
      Over-$1,347.30
    • S
      retarbLast traded
      Over+$853.32
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Under-$340.91

  • Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Miami Marlins
    Won
    Miami Marlins
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Pittsburgh Pirates-$3,365.43
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Miami Marlins+$2,280
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Miami Marlins+$1,116.35

  • Will FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$297.29
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$234.20
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$214.82

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    89%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$275.30
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$33.26
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$30.43

12,972 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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