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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
2,366 right674 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,084

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Toronto Tempo vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 184.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CA Platense vs. CD Coquimbo Unido end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$1,990.80
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$924.11
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$651.04

  • Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Shark Attack vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Phoenix
    Won
    Team Phoenix
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 31?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Parz1vaILast traded
      Yes+$545.46
    • S
      CarLast traded
      Yes+$78.60
    • S
      AllByMyseIfLast traded
      Yes+$24.05

  • Orlando City SC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CF Monterrey vs. Nashville SC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Kuopion PS
    Won
    Kuopion PS
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Universitatea Craiova CS-$3,427.93
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Kuopion PS+$1,529.55
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Kuopion PS+$1,062.97

  • CF Monterrey vs. Nashville SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$248.94
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$20.93
    • S
      badatmath.Last traded
      No+$1.81

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$121.83
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up-$110.72
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$49.77

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up-$265.93
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$49.79
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$48.39

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 13?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-08-12?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Yes-$363.18
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$195.15
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$164.21

  • Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-MANA eSports
    Won
    ex-MANA eSports
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Minnesota Lynx vs. Portland Fire: O/U 186.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • KBO: KT Wiz vs. NC Dinos

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    NC Dinos
    Won
    NC Dinos
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: AS Omónoia Leukosías (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Lincoln Red Imps FC
    Won
    Lincoln Red Imps FC
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      AS Omónoia Leukosías-$2,082.13
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Lincoln Red Imps FC+$1,483.94
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      AS Omónoia Leukosías-$1,299.99

  • Will Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$2,671.20
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$2,289.47
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes+$1,349.32

  • Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Club Puebla win on 2026-08-12?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Bilibili Gaming
    Won
    Bilibili Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Brownsburg: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Rei Sakamoto

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Rei Sakamoto
    Won
    Rei Sakamoto
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Dhakshineswar Suresh-$858.61
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Rei Sakamoto+$536.85
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Rei Sakamoto-$452.64

  • Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Hamburg: Matej Dodig vs Rudolf Molleker

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Matej Dodig
    Won
    Matej Dodig
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Matej Dodig+$425.59
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Matej Dodig+$296.40
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Rudolf Molleker-$139.57

  • Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$512.54
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$340.29
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      No+$155.09

  • Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Shark Attack vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Phoenix
    Won
    Team Phoenix
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Shark Attack-$1,045.22
    • S
      mpyhLast traded
      Team Phoenix+$257.89
    • S
      newwmanLast traded
      Team Phoenix+$80.67

  • Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$870.25
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$258.74
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$169.60

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under-$2,116.31
    • S
      Bagwell306Last traded
      Under-$592.93
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Under-$130.56

  • Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    81%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: University of Mississippi vs Cupid Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Cupid Esports
    Won
    Cupid Esports
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    New York Mets
    Won
    Atlanta Braves
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,972 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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