Resolution reportFriday, May 15, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
68%
1,308 right610 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 6,736
- No consensus
- 4,818
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 4,978 provider closure; 1,758 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 54
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$1,257.30
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$285.64
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$144
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 54
- Confidence
- 53%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$369.33
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$228.53
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$193.03
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 54
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$45.75
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$39.60
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$8.74
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 54
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$282.31
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$41.39
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$29.88
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 54
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$159.71
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$81.60
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$78.74
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 54
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$41.93
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$13.09
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$7.61
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 54
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$215.39
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$94.17
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$31.72
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 54
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$134.12
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$69.64
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$42.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 54
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$397.15
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$128.98
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$101.86
- Called
- T1
- Won
- T1
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDearest-UrgeLast tradedT1+$317.42
- SxytestLast tradedT1+$312.93
- SminjiLast tradedT1+$274.08
- Called
- LOUD
- Won
- LOUD
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDearest-UrgeLast tradedLOUD+$4,324.09
- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedVivo Keyd Stars-$2,434.92
- SnewwmanLast tradedVivo Keyd Stars-$623.60
- Called
- Legacy
- Won
- MOUZ
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SxytestLast tradedLegacy-$2,081.40
- Sblack-rabbitLast tradedMOUZ+$1,425.88
- Swhite-rabbitLast tradedLegacy-$1,291.18
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$368.04
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$283.35
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$116.54
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$60.79
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$52.08
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$48.29
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$177.71
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$25.25
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$22.47
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$117.50
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$60.49
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$22.21
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$72.92
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$33.15
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$31.55
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$133.30
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$41.60
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$31.61
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$94.05
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$44.83
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$15.47
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$195.73
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$59.87
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$26.54
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$88.54
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$26.94
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$26.29
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$196.02
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$47.22
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$28.83
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 1%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$47.86
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$43.38
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$43.36
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$80.37
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$30.17
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$25.36
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$362.12
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$42.16
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$29.71
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$129.81
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$81.46
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUp+$70.97
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 34%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$125.94
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$36.70
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$26.52
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$187.71
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$167.16
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$46.72
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$232.64
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$24.73
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$24.27
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$63.13
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$23
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$20.34
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$390.11
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$63.36
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$20.17
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$70.86
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$67.41
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$37.19
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$282.23
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$185.93
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$27.39
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$125.02
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$71.94
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$62.19
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$42.93
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$40.26
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$27.52
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 1%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$260.67
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$118.90
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$64.60
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$425.20
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$27.55
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$26.70
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$53.59
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$34.18
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$31.02
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$291.22
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$51.55
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$33.21
- Called
- Shopify Rebellion
- Won
- FlyQuest
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- STHEHIGHLIFELast tradedShopify Rebellion-$3,680.64
- Swhite-rabbitLast tradedShopify Rebellion-$1,939.72
- Sblack-rabbitLast tradedShopify Rebellion-$1,886.84
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$221.37
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$81.96
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$80.83
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$44.64
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$44.41
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$25.96
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$125.60
- SSharky6999Last tradedUp+$30.28
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$24.76
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 1%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$95.89
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$39.35
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$21.87
- Called
- Chicago Cubs
- Won
- Chicago Cubs
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedChicago Cubs+$45,869.60
- SRN1Last tradedArizona Diamondbacks-$1,842.82
- Ssportmaster777Last tradedArizona Diamondbacks-$1,732.04
- Called
- Athletics
- Won
- Athletics
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 51%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAthletics+$8,594.20
- SFlipadelphiaLast tradedCleveland Guardians-$1,688.14
- SBagwell306Last tradedCleveland Guardians-$1,350
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes-$2,970.89
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo+$799.70
- SMartyMcFoxLast tradedNo+$723.75
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$137.84
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$137.22
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$109.40
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUp+$62.95
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$33.48
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$28.18
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$146.23
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$132.37
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$31.19
4,722 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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