Resolution reportFriday, May 15, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
68%
1,308 right610 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 6,736
- No consensus
- 4,818
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 4,978 provider closure; 1,758 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 59
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$818.13
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$160.02
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$113.55
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 59
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$91.66
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$57.43
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$8.56
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 59
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$146.92
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$61.37
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$60.18
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 59
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$185.48
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$97.78
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$34.85
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 59
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$33.68
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$17.72
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$15.51
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 59
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$97.52
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$31.82
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$13.56
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies
No consensus- Won
- Atlanta Braves
- Profitable wallets
- 59
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAtlanta Braves+$4,112.50
- SWonderful-PatioLast tradedAtlanta Braves+$1,776.13
- SRN1Last tradedColorado Rockies-$1,747.06
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 59
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAvocadosFromMexicoLast tradedNo-$1,863.95
- SJest55Last tradedNo-$487.62
- SleegunnerLast tradedNo-$155.16
- Called
- Liquid
- Won
- Spirit
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedLiquid-$17,062.32
- SxytestLast tradedSpirit+$7,288.52
- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedLiquid-$3,009.33
- Called
- LYON
- Won
- LYON
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjohnbasterLast tradedLYON+$1,202.28
- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedSentinels-$1,042.13
- STHEHIGHLIFELast tradedSentinels-$703.20
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$295.81
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$240.84
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$221.58
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$72.23
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$45.47
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$34.46
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$137.59
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$92.31
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$91.24
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$79.52
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$51.63
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$45.02
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$159.64
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$114
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$108.25
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$85.96
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$36.99
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$23.11
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$42.46
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$12.01
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$6.79
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$240.78
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$233.72
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$94.83
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$125.01
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$20.36
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$18.57
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$310.53
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$92.77
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$74.15
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$274.90
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$46.35
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$25.86
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$688.74
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$228.91
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$85.32
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$97.11
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$65.14
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$53.84
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 66%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$85.99
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$82.44
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$65.99
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$305.51
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$89.56
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$55.42
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$52.51
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$42.08
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$32.25
- Called
- Chicago White Sox
- Won
- San Diego Padres
- Profitable wallets
- 56
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- Ssportmaster777Last tradedSan Diego Padres+$4,403.80
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedSan Diego Padres+$2,490.79
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedChicago White Sox-$1,552.99
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 56
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$204.12
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$182.46
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$178.33
- Called
- Tampa Bay Rays
- Won
- Tampa Bay Rays
- Profitable wallets
- 56
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedSan Francisco Giants-$7,008.65
- SbetdgeLast tradedTampa Bay Rays+$3,632.50
- SRN1Last tradedTampa Bay Rays+$2,652.91
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 56
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$116.08
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$76.69
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$59.25
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 56
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$924.05
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$450.27
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedDown-$302.92
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 56
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$125.59
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$111.66
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$85.82
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 56
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$123.93
- SwapolLast tradedDown-$90
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$31.97
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 56
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$85.48
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$76.73
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$45.91
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 56
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$138.73
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$120.24
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$72.05
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 56
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$1,641.79
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$148.74
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$99.65
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 56
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$104.23
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$65.23
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$24.86
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 56
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$111.45
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$90.48
- SRock.SanLast tradedDown+$44.40
- Called
- New York Mets
- Won
- New York Mets
- Profitable wallets
- 55
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNew York Mets+$124,939.79
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedNew York Mets+$1,167.03
- SRN1Last tradedLos Angeles Angels-$856.97
- Called
- 3DMAX
- Won
- Team Falcons
- Profitable wallets
- 55
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- STHEHIGHLIFELast traded3DMAX-$4,617.87
- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last traded3DMAX-$3,958.11
- SxytestLast traded3DMAX-$2,890.10
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 55
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$450.15
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$362.13
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$352.69
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 55
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$154.46
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$105.97
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$64.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 55
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$318.30
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$201.15
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$133.80
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 55
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$241.40
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$164.98
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$130.34
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 55
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$348.99
- SRock.SanLast tradedDown-$280.26
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$61.83
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 55
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$160.74
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$52.07
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$9.51
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 55
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$91.59
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$63.83
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$52.84
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 54
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$375.13
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$306.85
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$80.82
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 54
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$638.11
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$35.06
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$20.73
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 54
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$339.49
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$150.21
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$41.25
4,722 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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