Resolution reportFriday, May 15, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
68%
1,308 right610 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 6,736
- No consensus
- 4,818
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 4,978 provider closure; 1,758 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 67
- Confidence
- 32%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$57.63
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$49.60
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$28.35
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 66
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$812.32
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$184.58
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$91.14
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 66
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$162.01
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$93.87
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$82.83
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 66
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$336.64
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$116.34
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$89.73
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 66
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$294.51
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$254.66
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$113.44
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 66
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$78.27
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$58.76
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$31.77
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 66
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$196.08
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$51.55
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$40.30
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 65
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$602.97
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$151.90
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$148.11
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 65
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$541.71
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$486.66
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$35.08
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 64
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$226.30
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$64.31
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$34.45
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 64
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$341.03
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$326.94
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$320.49
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 64
- Confidence
- 66%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$345.09
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$38.35
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$38.27
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 64
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$92.54
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$34.04
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$25
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 64
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$231.41
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$59.80
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$55.02
- Called
- Houston Astros
- Won
- Houston Astros
- Profitable wallets
- 63
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedBoston Red Sox-$4,282.07
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedBoston Red Sox-$1,672.62
- SRenanPresidente.Last tradedHouston Astros+$1,365.36
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 63
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedDown+$40.61
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$27.29
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$9.13
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 63
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$114.40
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$63.09
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$27.77
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 63
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$207.85
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$88.90
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$60.44
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 63
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$167.67
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$93.18
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$66.88
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 63
- Confidence
- 1%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$62.92
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$39.92
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$29.25
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 63
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$278
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$28.97
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$25.30
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 63
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$191.95
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$58.27
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$47.18
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 63
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$2,251.01
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$170.72
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$140.91
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 63
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$182.51
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$75.94
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$52.38
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 62
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$285.53
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$141.85
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$57.57
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 62
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$171.84
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$57.21
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$54.56
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 62
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$124.27
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$98.67
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$97.99
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 62
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$127.95
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$41.57
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$36.01
- Called
- LYON
- Won
- LYON
- Profitable wallets
- 61
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedSentinels-$575.93
- Swhite-rabbitLast tradedSentinels-$382.70
- SxytestLast tradedSentinels-$329.40
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 61
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$146.32
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$111.21
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$55.18
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 61
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$165.97
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$58.06
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$47.66
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 61
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$360.45
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$267.33
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$67.69
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 61
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$248.01
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$91.62
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$56.50
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 60
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$465.57
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$169.54
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$123.63
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 60
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$275.65
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$71.90
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$25
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 60
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$462.52
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$193.53
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$93.48
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 60
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$42.19
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$41.70
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$27.05
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 60
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$115.22
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$59.47
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$57.05
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 60
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$168.32
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$116.88
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$73.07
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 60
- Confidence
- 45%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$165.57
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$117.32
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$46.45
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 60
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$111.77
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$96.10
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$48.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 60
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$161.87
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$107.31
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$102.36
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 60
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$55.62
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$38.92
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$30.87
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 60
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$119.95
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$41.54
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$27.29
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 60
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$56.34
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$52.88
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$49
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 60
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$570.29
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$138.49
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$107.31
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 60
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$527.33
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$51.16
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$29
- Called
- Vitality
- Won
- Vitality
- Profitable wallets
- 59
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedNatus Vincere-$857.64
- SRN1Last tradedNatus Vincere-$587.90
- Sblack-rabbitLast tradedNatus Vincere-$205.13
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 59
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$533.71
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$97.83
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$96.79
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 59
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$516.51
- SRock.SanLast tradedDown+$252.14
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$152.01
4,722 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 28,342 more positions across 1,750 markets on this day.
Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day
