Resolution reportFriday, May 15, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
68%
1,308 right610 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 6,736
- No consensus
- 4,818
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 4,978 provider closure; 1,758 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$157.81
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$123.40
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$103.74
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$308.86
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$78.45
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$58.90
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$166.75
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$110.91
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$39.42
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$174.36
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$31.09
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$25
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$197.04
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$94.50
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$55.21
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$111.64
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$38.16
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$35.63
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$26.60
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$11.12
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$10.13
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$59.83
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$42.57
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$32.90
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 62%
Profitable wallets' positions- SJest55Last tradedNo+$1,632.40
- SmishipolisLast tradedNo+$1,023.48
- SAvocadosFromMexicoLast tradedNo+$164.20
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$322.40
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$61.34
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$50.28
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$516.47
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$53.16
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$51.51
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$104.98
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$58.24
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$54.19
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$178.16
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$147.84
- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$54.91
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$113.59
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$53.22
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$45.38
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$228.01
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$53.94
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$20.23
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$276.69
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$68.99
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$56.90
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$186.47
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$35.50
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$32.10
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$207.40
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$144.44
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$130.15
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- Ssportmaster777Last tradedOver+$3,679.83
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedOver+$1,182.03
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver+$908.62
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- APredictionYogiLast tradedYes-$1,080.45
- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$382.52
- AbipbipbopLast tradedNo+$310.99
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SrainbowliliesLast tradedNo+$44.30
- SwapolLast tradedNo+$2.70
- AperfectnostalgiaLast tradedYes-$9,562.53
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$1,052.97
- S0x0a2c53bd218c04da996cf96490e14-f3dfb9bc2Last tradedDown-$335.57
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$244.51
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$157.26
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$104.89
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$58.71
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$370.14
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$37.95
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$37.58
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$123.52
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$115.06
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$104.60
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$95.84
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$48.86
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$44.13
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 51%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$103.15
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$72.39
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$41.42
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$176.67
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$23.68
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$20.12
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SJargsLast tradedNo+$4,042.58
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$2,272.20
- SBagwell306Last tradedNo+$2,165.13
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 51%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmishipolisLast tradedNo+$1,102.56
- SAvocadosFromMexicoLast tradedNo+$35.99
- SJest55Last tradedNo+$17.24
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$27.22
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$17.80
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$12.36
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$23.20
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$20.52
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$14.54
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$53.05
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$32.30
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$26
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$44.97
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$21.60
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$20.22
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$298.62
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$158.45
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$85.76
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$73.83
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$69.42
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$36.94
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 62%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$354.95
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$144.76
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$78.80
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$118.16
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$70.28
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$63.24
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$17.41
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$14.21
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$7.53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$264.13
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$22.08
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$6.81
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$1,170.14
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$726.28
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$383.46
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 72%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$224.67
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$211.51
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$85.20
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$85.88
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$84.02
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$43.21
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$325.36
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$222.01
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$50.06
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$133.59
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$52.13
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$40.89
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$186.62
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$35.32
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$27.33
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 51%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$134.29
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$43.08
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$42.54
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$43.85
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$36.61
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$33.17
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$116.65
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$79.99
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$12.87
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$88.50
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$78.75
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$70.47
4,722 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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